The Truth About Talibanistan

By Aryn Baker / Kabul, Afghanistan

Thursday, Mar. 22, 2007

http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1601850-3,00.html

 

The residents of Dara Adam Khel, a gunsmiths' village 30 miles south of
Peshawar, Pakistan, awoke one morning last month to find their streets
littered with pamphlets demanding that they observe Islamic law. Women were
instructed to wear all-enveloping burqas and men to grow their beards. Music
and television were banned. Then the jihadists really got serious. These
days, dawn is often accompanied by the wailing of women as another beheaded
corpse is found by the side of the road, a note pinned to the chest claiming
that the victim was a spy for either the Americans or the Pakistani
government. Beheadings are recorded and sold on DVD in the area's bazaars.
"It's the knife that terrifies me," says Hafizullah, 40, a local arms smith.
"Before they kill you, they sharpen the knife in front of you. They are
worse than butchers."

 

Stories like these are being repeated across the tribal region of Pakistan,
a rugged no-man's-land that forms the country's border with Afghanistan--and
that is rapidly becoming home base for a new generation of potential
terrorists. Fueled by zealotry and hardened by war, young religious
extremists have overrun scores of towns and villages in the border areas,
with the intention of imposing their strict interpretation of Islam on a
population unable to fight back. Like the Taliban in the late 1990s in
Afghanistan, the jihadists are believed to be providing leaders of al-Qaeda
with the protection they need to regroup and train new operatives. U.S.
intelligence officials think that Osama bin Laden and his deputy, Ayman
al-Zawahiri, may have found refuge in these environs. And though 49,000 U.S.
and NATO troops are stationed just across the border in Afghanistan, they
aren't authorized to operate on the Pakistani side. Remote, tribal and
deeply conservative, the border region is less a part of either country than
a world unto itself, a lawless frontier so beyond the control of the West
and its allies that it has earned a name of its own: Talibanistan.

 

Since Sept. 11, the strategic hinge in the U.S.'s campaign against al-Qaeda
has been Pakistan, handmaiden to the Taliban movement that turned
Afghanistan into a sanctuary for bin Laden and his lieutenants. While
members of Pakistan's intelligence services have long been suspected of
being in league with the Taliban, the Bush Administration has consistently
praised Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf for his cooperation in rooting
out and apprehending members of bin Laden's network. But the Talibanization
of the borderlands--and their role in arming and financing insurgents in
Afghanistan--has renewed doubts about whether Musharraf still possesses the
will to face down the jihadists.

 

Those doubts are surfacing at a time when Musharraf confronts his biggest
political crisis since grabbing power eight years ago. Since March 12,
Pakistani streets have been the scene of clashes between police and
thousands of lawyers and opposition activists outraged by Musharraf's
decision to suspend the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, Iftikhar
Muhammad Chaudhry, for alleged abuse of office. Musharraf's critics say the
President is attempting to rig the system to ensure he stays in power. Their
ire boiled over when Pakistani police raided a television station to prevent
it from covering protests outside the Supreme Court. Some Pakistanis who
have excused Musharraf's authoritarianism in the past now portray him as a
jackbooted dictator. "I think he has ruined himself," says retired Lieut.
General Hamid Gul, former director general of the Pakistani intelligence
organization Inter-Services Intelligence. "He's not going to be able to
placate the forces he has unleashed."

 

Because Musharraf also heads Pakistan's army, it's unlikely that he will be
forced from office. But a loss of support from his moderate base could
deepen his dependence on fundamentalist parties, which are staunch
supporters of the Taliban. If the protests against Musharraf continue, he
will be even less inclined to crack down on the militants holding sway in
Talibanistan--grim news for the U.S. and its allies and good news for their
foes throughout the region. Says a senior U.S. military official in
Afghanistan: "The bottom line is that the Taliban can do what they want in
the tribal areas because the [Pakistani] army is not going to come after
them."

 

In fact, the territory at the heart of Talibanistan--a heavily forested band
of mountains that is officially called North and South Waziristan--has never
fully submitted to the rule of any country. The colonial British were unable
to conquer the region's Pashtun tribes and allowed them to run their own
affairs according to local custom. In exchange, the tribesmen protected the
subcontinental empire from northern invaders. Following independence in
1947, Pakistan continued the arrangement.

 

After 9/11, Islamabad initially left the tribal areas alone. But when it
became obvious that al-Qaeda and Taliban militants were crossing the border
to escape U.S. forces in Afghanistan, Pakistan sent in the first of what
eventually became 80,000 troops. They had some success: the Pakistani army
captured terrorist leaders and destroyed training camps. But the harder the
military pressed, the more locals resented its presence, especially when
civilians were killed in botched raids against terrorists.

 

As part of peace accords signed last September with tribal leaders in North
Waziristan, the Pakistani military agreed to take down roadblocks, stop
patrols and return to their barracks. In exchange, local militants promised
not to attack troops and to end cross-border raids into Afghanistan. The
accords came in part because the Pakistani army was simply unable to tame
the region. Over the past two years, it has lost more than 700 troops there.
The change in tactics, says Gul, was an admission that the Pakistani
military had "lost the game."

 

The army isn't the only one paying the price now. Since Pakistani forces
scaled back operations in the border region, the insurgency in Afghanistan
has intensified. Cross-border raids and suicide bombings aimed at U.S. and
NATO troops in Afghanistan have tripled, according to the senior U.S.
military official. He concedes that "the Pakistanis are in a very difficult
position. You could put 50,000 men on that border, and you wouldn't be able
to seal it."

 

The troop drawback has allowed Pakistani militants allied with the Taliban
to impose their will on the border areas. They have established Shari'a
courts and executed "criminals" on the basis of Islamic law. Even
Pakistani-army convoys are sometimes escorted by Taliban militants to ensure
safe passage, a scene witnessed by TIME in North Waziristan one recent
afternoon. "The state has withdrawn and ceded this territory," says Samina
Ahmed of the International Crisis Group. "[The Taliban] have been given
their own little piece of real estate."

 

The militants are using sympathetic mosques in Talibanistan to recruit
fighters to attack Western troops in Afghanistan, according to tribal elders
in the region. With cash and religious fervor, they lure young men to join
their battle and threaten local leaders so they will deliver the support of
their tribes. Malik Haji Awar Khan, 55, head of the 2,000-strong Mutakhel
Wazir tribe of North Waziristan, was approached a year ago to join the
Taliban cause. When he refused, militants kidnapped his teenage sons. "They
thought they could make me join them, but I am tired of fighting," says
Khan, who battled alongside the Afghan mujahedin in the war against the
Soviets. "This is a jihad dictated by outsiders, by al-Qaeda. It is not a
holy war. They just want power and money."

 

Tribal leaders interviewed by TIME say they do not support the aims of the
jihadists. But the Taliban's campaign of fear has worn down local
resistance. Malik Sher Muhammad Khan, a tribal elder from Wana, says, "The
Taliban walk through the streets shouting that children shouldn't go to
school because they are learning modern subjects like math and science. But
we want to be modern. It's not just the girls. In my village, not a single
person can even sign his name." Khan estimates that only 5% of the
inhabitants of Waziristan actively support the militants. Others benefit
financially by providing services and renting land for training camps. The
rest, he says, acquiesce out of fear. A few months ago, militants stormed
his compound in retaliation for his outspoken criticism of their presence in
the area. During the melee, a grenade killed his wife. "If I had weapons,
maybe I could have saved her," he says. "We have no way to make them leave."

 

The emergence of Talibanistan may directly threaten the U.S. Locals say the
region The emergence of Talibanistan may directly threaten the West too.
Locals say the region has become one big terrorist-recruitment camp, where
people as young as 17 are trained as suicide bombers. "Here, teenagers are
greeted with the prayers 'May Allah bless you to become a suicide bomber,'"
says Obaidullah Wazir, 35, a young tribesman in Miranshah. National
Intelligence Director John McConnell told the Senate Armed Services
Committee last month that "al-Qaeda is forging stronger operational
connections that radiate outward from their camps in Pakistan to affiliated
groups and networks throughout the Middle East, North Africa and Europe."
Muzafar Khan, a headman from one of the local tribes, told TIME that Uzbek
commander Tahir Yuldashev, leader of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan and
a suspected confidant of bin Laden's, commands some Uzbeks, Chechens, Arabs
and local fighters from his base in the borderlands. "We know they are
al-Qaeda," says Khan. "They are foreigners, they have different faces, and
they don't speak Pashto." He claims that "their camps are easy to find. Even
a child could show you."

 

The camps hold from 10 to 300 militants and are usually hidden deep in the
forest, according to local residents. They have simple structures, low
concrete-and-brick buildings with high walls. Some have underground bunkers
for protection in case of attack. Outsiders easily mistake them for
traditional village housing. "We know they exist," says the U.S. military
official in Afghanistan. "But it's like finding a needle in a haystack." A
Pakistani intelligence official says there are training camps in the region
and that Pakistan is doing everything it can to find them and destroy them.
"I don't say that [foreigners] are not here, but wherever we know of their
presence, we go after them and take action," he says. The best hope for
dislodging al-Qaeda from the region may be local tribesmen, who have
recently engaged in heavy clashes with foreign and local militants around
the town of Wana.

 

Will Musharraf join the fight? Though the U.S. is pressing Musharraf to do
more to rout terrorists in Pakistan, his political survival still depends on
parties that resent his ties to Washington. There is a widespread view in
Pakistan that Vice President Dick Cheney, during his trip to Pakistan two
weeks ago, reprimanded Musharraf for failing to rein in the militants. But
officials on both sides say the partnership between Bush and Musharraf
remains solid. "Is it doing more? Well, yeah, it's doing more. We all gotta
do more, do better, do different. It's a war," says a senior Western
diplomat in Pakistan. "But for folks to sit there in Washington or London or
wherever and say, 'Damn it! We're tired of this. Go fix it,' is not hugely
helpful."

 

That may be true. But the Bush Administration is beginning to recognize that
to stabilize Afghanistan and prevent the rebirth of al-Qaeda, it has to
contain the growth of Talibanistan. Assistant Secretary of State Richard
Boucher announced in Islamabad that the U.S. intends to give an extra $750
million to Musharraf over the next five years to support development in the
tribal areas. "I think this commitment to the development of Pakistan, this
commitment to a long-term relationship, is another example of the very broad
and deep relationship we have and that we are developing with Pakistan,"
Boucher said. "We have a fundamental interest in the success of Pakistan as
a moderate, stable, democratic Muslim nation."

 

That infusion of U.S. money would go far toward developing a region nearly
devoid of civil infrastructure. There's no doubt that in the long run,
schools, hospitals, roads and electricity would do much more to quell
militancy than would an increased military presence. But that kind of
development takes years. As the militants consolidate power, Musharraf needs
to take bolder steps. The judicial crisis and the resulting protests have
weakened Musharraf's credibility among the moderate, secular Pakistanis who
could provide a bulwark against the threat of jihadism. Musharraf has
pledged to hold general elections at the end of the year, but regaining the
support of moderate groups may require him to go further and open up the
vote to opposition leaders Nawaz Sharif and Benazir Bhutto, who have both
been exiled. If Musharraf can prove that he is committed to democracy,
Pakistanis may well choose to keep him in power. Armed with such a mandate,
Musharraf would be better poised to tackle militancy in the tribal areas.
Pakistan's Foreign Minister Khurshid Mehmood Kasuri concedes that the peace
agreement with the tribes in Waziristan has "weaknesses" that the government
is addressing. An official says Islamabad intends to send two new brigades
of troops to seize back the initiative.

 

Last month the same mountain passes used by militants set on attacking U.S.
and NATO forces in Afghanistan served as passage for an unlikely delegation
of 45 tribal elders from Pakistan's borderlands. They were headed for a
meeting with Hamid Karzai, the President of Afghanistan, who has openly
criticized Musharraf's failure to stem Pakistani support for the Taliban.
"We have had too many years of war, too many widows, too many orphans, too
many amputees. If this jihad continues, it will destroy Afghanistan and
Waziristan," said an elder. "We need help, and we no longer trust the
Pakistani government." The leader of the delegation presented Karzai with a
traditional Waziri turban, a great soft-serve swirl of butter-yellow silk.
As he placed it on the President's head, he said, "You are our President.
You can free us from this disaster. We are at your service, and we support
you." That the tribesmen would turn to one of Musharraf's rivals for help
against the Taliban is a telling indictment of his leadership. And if
Musharraf doesn't find a way to re-establish control over Talibanistan, he
may find his backers in Washington giving up on him too.

 

WITH REPORTING BY SIMON ROBINSON/ ISLAMABAD, GHULAM HASNAIN / DARA ADAM KHEL

 

* Find this article at:
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1601850,00.html

 

  
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