Startling implications of a Jihadi letter

By  <http://www.americanthinker.com/ray_robison/> Ray Robison
http://www.americanthinker.com/2007/11/startling_implications_of_a_ji.html

New light is being shed on the 2001 anthrax attacks in a fascinating
<http://www.adnkronos.com/AKI/English/Security/?id=1.0.1524980329> open
letter to Ayman al Zawahiri of al Qaeda, written by a jihadi living in
London. 

Numan Bin Uthman, a former leader of an armed Islamic group in Libya,
provides yet more evidence that the global Islamic jihad movement is losing
its resolve.  But the letter contains a startling admission. Uthman tells us
of a conversation he had with al Qaeda leaders before the 9/11 attacks in
which he urged them not to use WMD. From AKI News
<http://www.adnkronos.com/AKI/English/Security/?id=1.0.1524980329> :


Uthman also said that he had taken part in an important al-Qaeda summit in
Kandahar, Afghanistan in 2000, in which al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden had
defined search for and use of weapons of mass destruction as a "Sharia
obligation". 

"During this occasion, I had a strong dispute with the martyr Abu Hafs
al-Kumandan, because he was heavily involved in acquiring weapons of mass
destruction," he said in the letter. 

I was unfamiliar with the name "al Kumandan" but there is a well known al
Qaeda leader named Abu Hafs who is a "martyr" and was killed by U.S. Forces
in Afghanistan. Looking up Kumandan on the internet I found a reference and
it seems to mean "commander". Abu Hafs has been identified as Usama bin
Laden's WMD chaser. He fits Uthman's description. He was the number three
man in al Qaeda.

Controversial informant Ibn Sheik al Libi identified Abu Hafs, otherwise
known as Mohammad Atef as a contact between al Qaeda and the Saddam regime
for procurement of WMD, before he recanted. 

In a previous
<http://www.americanthinker.com/2007/05/more_evidence_of_saddamal_qaed.html>
article I noted that a new al Qaeda document matched very well with a Saddam
regime document. The linkage between the documents gave a chain of command
and time-line from a Saddam regime order to "hunt Americans" in Somalia
followed by a Abu Hafs order just two days later that would lead to that
ultimate end.  

I have also argued
<http://www.usnews.com/blogs/barone/2006/9/27/pajamas-media-panel.html>
publicly that the 2001 anthrax attack makes a lot more sense as a
continuation of the 9/11 attacks than as the plot of some embittered
scientist. If al Qaeda did perform the anthrax attack, I consider it likely
that Abu Hafs most likely obtained anthrax from Iraq, through his
relationship to the Saddam regime in his position as WMD chaser.Former CIA
Director George Tenet confirmed in his book At The Eye of the Storm that a
second al Qaeda source backed up this connection; there is further evidence
of collaberation. It didn't have to be much; just a small sample, a pound or
two easily smuggled out of Iraq.

Uthman continues:


"He wanted to use these weapons to dissuade the United State from attacking
Afghanistan. And yet I knew that al-Qaeda did not have any strategic vision
and would have used the weapons to kill indiscriminately and not to
dissuade". 

Now consider this: you plan to conduct an attack (9/11) and you expect
retaliation. One tactic to counter the threat of invasion would be to make
the enemy believe he will endure a devastating biological attack (or
mutually assured destruction, to resurrect an antiquated term). 

But having WMD and using WMD are two different things. It is well known that
before the Gulf War Saddam Hussein had massive stockpiles and the ability to
soak the battlefield in WMD. However, he did not use them, partially because
President George H.W. Bush promised nuclear retaliation if Saddam used WMD.
Saddam had them but did not have the will to use them against U.S. forces;
he wasn't willing to accept the consequences. 


But what if we had known he had the will? What if Saddam had proved beyond a
doubt that an invasion would have been met with WMD? Would that have been a
successful deterrent? Quite possibly it might have.

Now consider the possibility that al Qaeda leaders believed we would
retaliate for 9/11 and decided that they would have to prove they not only
had WMD but also the will to use WMD. How would they do that? 

One very solid way would be to launch a small scale WMD attack in the United
States as a demonstration. Remember, Uthman said, 


"He wanted to use these weapons to dissuade the United State from attacking
Afghanistan." 

Of course, he doesn't say if this is directly related to 9/11. He may have
meant that before 9/11 UBL  wanted WMD to keep us out of Afghanistan. But
remember, this whole conversation takes place in the context of procuring
WMD as a duty of jihad. And prior to this, Usama bin Laden had already
declared war on the United States. I think the rest of his statements make
it clear what he meant. 

Remember, he said "And yet I knew that al-Qaeda did not have any strategic
vision and would have used the weapons to kill indiscriminately and not to
dissuade". The word "indiscriminately" as used here sounds an awful lot like
he means a terrorist attack without actually having to say terrorist and
thereby validate the term. Jihadis find it very important to invalidate that
concept (along with "war on terror") in order to convince other Muslims that
it is really a war on Islam. 

Uthman continues:


"At that time I said that provoking the United States would turn them
against the Taliban and by striking the country in an unconventional way
would bring occupation to the entire Middle East and not only Afghanistan
and that's what's happened," he said. 

Uthman clearly is indicating that he warned Usama bin Laden and Mohammad
Atef not to strike the U.S. in an "unconventional way" which is one way to
describe an attack with WMD or unconventional weapons. He highlights that he
claimed the war would spread to the Middle East "and that's what's
happened". He means he warned al Qaeda that the war would spread to Iraq if
they used WMD. 

Considering that the world (minus the bulk of the American press) now sees
that it is quite likely the U.S. will defeat al Qaeda in Iraq, Uthman has
clearly written an "I told you so" to Zawahiri. 

He speaks circumspectly, so as not to admit too much that would support the
case made by the Bush Administration, but his meaning is clear. Uthman has
become convinced that Usama bin Laden has lost the war in Iraq, has lost his
credibility and lays it all at the feet of his use of anthrax on the United
States. Of course, the vagaries of his statement will be exploited with
alternate theories by liberals bent on denying the al Qaeda threat and
George Bush's success. All I ask is for the fair minded to keep Uthman's
statements in context to get the big picture here.

Now let's put that big picture together.

Uthman says he tried to talk Mohammad Atef and Usama bin Laden out of using
WMD in a terrorist attack to convince the U.S. not to retaliate in
Afghanistan because it would ultimately spread to Iraq. 

Why would Uthman expect this? I can think of one salient reason. 

Because he knew that al Qaeda was planning an Anthrax attack with weaponized
anthrax provide by Saddam Hussein. 

H/T
<http://sea2sea.blogspot.com/2007/11/more-dissention-in-islamic-jihadist.htm
l#links> Mata Harley
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