http://abcnews.go.com/print?id=3851014
 

Project Seeks to Track Terror Web Posts


Arizona Team's Tool Could Help Law Enforcement Link Online Postings and
Track Down Terrorists


By ARTHUR H. ROTSTEIN Associated Press Writer


The Associated Press


TUCSON, Ariz. 


The quivering images and militant writings are frightening: an exploding
Humvee blankets passing cars with dust; a lab technician makes explosives,
step by step; hatred oozes from "A guide to kill Americans in Saudi Arabia."


Tens of thousands of Web pages are now devoted to terrorist propaganda
designed to attract followers. On the surface, the messages and videos
reveal little about their creators. But programmers and writers leave
digital clues: the greetings and other words they choose, their punctuation
and syntax, and the way they code multimedia attachments and Web links.

Researchers at the University of Arizona are developing a tool that uses
these clues to automate the analysis of online jihadism. The Dark Web
project aims to scour Web sites, forums and chat rooms to find the
Internet's most prolific and influential jihadists and learn how they reel
in adherents.

Lab director Hsinchun Chen hopes Dark Web will crimp what he calls "al-Qaida
University on the Web," the mass of Web sites where potential terrorists
learn their trade, from making explosives to planning attacks. Experts said
they are not aware of any comparable effort, though some said the project
may have only limited applications.

The project in the university's Artificial Intelligence Lab will not
identify people outside cyberspace "because that involves civil liberties,"
Chen said, preferring to let law enforcement and intelligence analysts take
over from there. Instead, it will help identify messages with the same
author and reveal links that aren't obvious.

"Our tool will help them ID the high-risk, radical opinion leaders in
cyberspace," Chen said.

Chen said a few agencies are on the verge of using some of his team's
techniques but he wouldn't name the agencies.

Former FBI counterterror chief Dale Watson, who noted that terrorist Web
sites and communications are now analyzed manually, said the ability to sort
through so much data electronically "would be a great asset in the fight
against terrorism."

"It would greatly enhance the speed and capability to sort through a large
amount of data," Watson said. "That would be the key here. The issue will be
where is the Web site originating and where are the tentacles going?"

The only other computer-generated research of terrorist Web sites that Chen
said he knew of is at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory in Richland,
Wash. Spokesman Greg Koller said the lab's program is "developing some tools
that a decision-maker could use, but nothing that is completely automated."

The bulk of a $1.3 million grant the National Science Foundation gave Chen's
group will focus on who produces improvised explosives and what they talk
about such as American troop movements and terrorist tactics. Before getting
the NSF funding, Chen started the project with about $3 million from other
Artificial Intelligence Lab programs.

Dark Web's software, which Chen calls Writeprint, samples 480 different
factors to identify whether the same people are posting to multiple radical
forums. It can analyze everything from a fragment of an e-mail to videos
depicting American soldiers blown up in Humvees and fuel tankers.

Writeprint is derived from a program originally used to determine the
authenticity of William Shakespeare's works. It looks at writing style, word
usage and frequency and greetings, and at technical elements ranging from
Web addresses to the coding on multimedia attachments. It also looks at
linguistic features such as special characters, punctuation, word roots,
font size and color, he said.

Currently, intelligence analysts cannot effectively analyze writing style in
cyberspace, particularly multilingual writings, he said.

"But using our tool ... we can get about 95 percent accuracy, because I'm
utilizing a lot of things your naked eye cannot see," Chen said.

Chen and counterterror specialists said what he termed a tenfold increase in
the last two years in jihadist content appearing online has outstripped
intelligence analysts' abilities.

"Automating this is absolutely necessary," said Evan Kohlmann, a terrorism
expert with the Washington-based Investigative Project on Terrorism. "We're
reaching that finite limit" of what can be done manually by humans.

Dark Web compares writings it finds to others in its logs of about 500
million pages of jihadist-produced documents, videos, images, e-mails and
other postings, Chen said.

Most of the material is in Arabic, but as terrorist sympathizers have
spawned new sites worldwide since 2005, Dark Web has expanded to look at
Chinese-, Spanish- and French-language postings, and others will be added.

Given that some forums include close to 70,000 members and a million
postings, analyzing Web traffic by hand "is really like drinking water from
a fire hydrant," Chen said.

Some counterterror specialists, including some Chen consulted when he
started the project nearly four years ago, are unconvinced Dark Web will
deliver first-class analysis or produce real-world results.

"To be anything more than a scientific exercise, the techniques and methods
developed need to be applicable to real-world counterterrorism," said Ben
Venzke, head of IntelCenter, a private company that studies terrorist groups
for intelligence agencies.

Venzke, who did not have specific knowledge of Chen's project, cautioned
that public discussion of attempts to identify jihadists can damage those
efforts.

"If you develop a method to identify something that a group is doing and
then publicly disclose the method or enough of what you're looking for,
there's a very good chance that they're going to stop doing it," Venzke
said.

Others Chen consulted at Dark Web's outset also aren't sold on how much
real-world value it can deliver.

"He has to show that the guys who post it have anything to do with the
bombings," said Dr. Marc Sageman, a forensic psychiatrist, a CIA case worker
in the late 1980s in Afghanistan and a senior fellow with the Foreign Policy
Research Institute.

Gabriel Weimann, an international terrorism expert at Israel's University of
Haifa, also tempered his support.

"I am not very thrilled with `computerized scanning,'" Weimann said in an
e-mail. "A human eye sees more, and deeper."

On the Net:

Dark Web Terrorism Research: http://ai.arizona.edu/research/terror/index.htm

Artificial Intelligence Lab: http://ai.bpa.arizona.edu/go/recognition.html

Examples of violent postings collected by a group that tracks jihadists, at
Search for International Terrorist Entities: http://www.siteinstitute.org/

 



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