<http://counterterrorismblog.org/2008/01/hezbollahs_billion_petrodollar.php>
Hezbollah's Billion Petrodollars

Today, January 11, 2008, 6 hours ago | Walid Phares
<http://counterterrorismblog.org/2008/01/hezbollahs_billion_petrodollar.php>
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http://counterterrorismblog.org/2008/01/hezbollahs_billion_petrodollar.php

A few weeks ago, articles published around the world reported that Hezbollah
is undergoing two major changes. Both portend greater violence from the
Iranian-sponsored global terrorist network. 

The first change is a shift in leadership responsibilities. A report
published initially in the Saudi owned Sharq al Awsat said the office of
Ayatollah Khomenei appointed deputy secretary general Sheikh Naim Qassim as
the new supreme commander of Hezbollah forces and the personal
representative of the Ayatollah in Lebanon. Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah,
according to this report remains as secretary general of the organization.
Sources said this change in control and command is because of "differences
in opinions" between Narsrallah and Qassim. 

The Hezbollah media arm rushed to deny the veracity of this shift. But
observers with direct knowledge of the organization's inside structure said
Khamenei indeed ordered changes in Hezbollah's structures, but not because
of differences between its leaders. They said it was in preparation for a
potential massive move by Hezbollah to seize more power in Lebanon and
before a possible clash with the Lebanese Government and the United Nations
over the disarmament process.

Sources believe the assassination of Brigadier General Francois Hajj,
director of operations in the Lebanese Army was another preemptive measure
ordered by the Pasdaran command in Lebanon. Hajj was slated to become the
next commander of the Lebanese Army. The latter was to deploy across Lebanon
and eventually begin the collection of weapons. Hence, believe the
observers, a Syro-Iranian order was issued to preempt and eliminate a man
who could have become the military commander to force Hezbollah to disarm.
This would have been compared to the al Qaeda elimination of Masoud Shah in
September 2001 just before the 9/11 strikes. Hence, the concerns that the
assassination and the reshuffling within the organization may be a prelude
to dramatic move by the Iranian funded Terror group. Which lead to the other
important information revealed by al Shaq al Awsat and published in the
leading Lebanese Newspaper al Nahar. 

The second major change according to these reports Hezbollah is a huge
increase in annual budget funded by Tehran. Hezbollah's funding was elevated
from $400 million US to $1 billion. This ballistic leap would enable the
organization to crush any opponent inside Lebanon and engage in worldwide
operations against Western Democracies and Arab moderates. According to
experts in Lebanon, the $400 millions figure was enough to pay for hundreds
of social centers and thousands of salaries enough to insure a full control
over the Shia community, its representatives in Parliament and buy
significant influence inside the Sunni, Druze and particularly Christian
community. One hundred million dollars alone, could pay for the activities
of movements opposed to the Cedars Revolution and the democratically elected
Government of Seniora. 

Hezbollah obtained support in the Christian districts and launched media
outlets across the country. Another thirty millions can put enormous
pressures on soldiers and officers of the various sectors of defense and
security. In return the Government branches and the military have been
deprived from solid financial support coming from outside the country. Those
who rose against the Syrian occupation were mostly from the deprived and
oppressed segments of civil society. And those who dared opposing
Hezbollah's domination of the country lacked the basic means of NGOs. The
confrontation was totally unbalanced. Iran was pouring 400 millions of
Petrodollars to roll back the Cedars Revolution while the latter was highly
praised overseas but wasn't a recipient of freedom funds. 

But if $400 million can buy Hezbollah a magic place under Lebanon's sun,
what would a $1 billion do? Observers in Lebanon say: "anything anywhere."
Indeed the Moguls of the so-called "resistance" have been able to create
alternative TV and radio stations, launch multiple dailies, pay for a
nonstop sit-in across Downtown Beirut, and more importantly leap to hyper
international power. Over the past year the Iranian-funded hydra is said to
have hired PR companies from Beirut to major capitals to wage the mother of
all wars of ideas not just against the vulnerable Cedars Revolution in
Lebanon but also in defense of Ahmedinijad's nuclear strategy. Indeed,
stories filed out of Tehran can't be credible. But reports and analysis
sprayed from dozens of apparently neutral web sites or forwarded from
credible journalistic sources can do devastation in the West. And what
better launching pad than Beirut, cultural capital of the Arab world, to
use? All what the Iranian funded organization has to do is to "double" if
not "triple" the income of any person of interest in any sector of choice:
media, academia, military, consulting, intelligence, etc. both in Lebanon
but also around the world, including if needed in the United States. 

One Billion dollars spent on Hezbollah in Lebanon can have ripple effects as
far as Detroit and Argentina. There is no native force in Lebanon that can
match this tidal wave nor even one tenth of it. This is Iran's Petro power
deployed on the Eastern Mediterranean not a local social movement building
orphanages. A month ago as I was participating in a cross fire program on al
Jazeera facing off with a coordinator of Iranian propaganda in the Arab
world, I was asked why the US maintains a Navy in the Middle East. "Where
are Iran's fleets," he asked. I replied that the Iranian regime maintains
land fleets. "Hezbollah's 30,000 rockets and its millions of dollars is an
Iranian fleet" I answered.

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Dr Walid Phares is the Director of Future Terrorism Project at the
Foundation for the Defense for Democracies and the author of The War of
Ideas: Jihadism against Democracies. Professor Phares taught at St Joseph
University, Florida Atlantic University and the National Defense University.


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