http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article3227887.e
ce
 

Rudolph Giuliani falters as high-stakes gamble fails to deliver


Rudolph Giuliani's high-risk strategy to win the Republican presidential
nomination appeared to be faltering yesterday as new polls put him in third
place in Florida and behind in his home state of New York. 

The former Mayor of New York has spent the past 49 days campaigning in
Florida in a make-or-break bid to win next Tuesday's Republican primary in
the state. His high-stakes gamble is that, despite sitting out early
contests, a win in Florida will propel him to the front of the Republican
field before the "Super Tuesday" primaries on February 5 when 22 states
decide. 

The latest Florida poll showed Mr Giuliani lagging behind early primary
winners Mitt Romney and John McCain. The Rasmussen Reports telephone survey
gave Mr Romney 25 per cent compared with Mr McCain's 20 per cent and Mr
Giuliani's 19 per cent. 

"It was a long shot to begin with and I think a mistake," Lance de
Haven-Smith, a politics professor at Florida State University, said of Mr
Giuliani's Florida-focused strategy. 

 

How
<file:///C:/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/us_elections/article3213095.ece>
the row over race turned into a beauty contest for the Democrats 


The racial cross-currents of American politics are taking the 2008
presidential candidates across uncharted waters 

 


"Florida is a media state. People get all their news from TV. For literally
months they have been hearing how Giuliani is not winning anything. I think
he underestimated the amount that would hurt him. It's not retail politics.
He did not realise you cannot just come here and walk around Florida. You
have to be on the air." 


Mr Giuliani's challenge was made even clearer by two other polls that found
he had been overtaken by Mr McCain among Republicans in his home state of
New York. 

A WNBC/Marist poll in New York showed that 34 per cent of registered
Republicans support Mr McCain, compared with 23 per cent for Mr Giuliani.
Among Republicans likely to vote Mr McCain kept his 34 per cent support. Mr
Giuliani was tied in second place with Mr Romney at 19 per cent. 

Another poll by Siena College showed a 12-point deficit - 36 to 24 per cent.
Steven Greenberg, of Siena College, called the latest numbers "a stunning
turnaround" from the former New York mayor's 33-point lead over the Arizona
senator in the state in December. 

Mr Giuliani's appeal as "America's mayor" for his leadership in New York
after the September 11, 2001 terror attacks has faded as voters grow
increasingly concerned about the economy - considered one of Mr Romney's
strengths. 

Mr Giuliani has retooled his campaign, promising what he calls economic
security. "I think the two biggest things that a president can offer is
economic security and national security," he said yesterday at a campaign
event in Orlando, Florida. 

Mr McCain arrived in Florida with strong momentum after his wins in New
Hampshire and South Carolina - a state that has picked every Republican
nominee since Ronald Reagan in 1980. 

Mr McCain told new conference: "If someone hasn't run a primary, I can
understand why they would attack the front-runner." 



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