The al-Qaida franchise

  _____  

DAVID HARRIS, The Media Line , THE JERUSALEM POST       Jan. 22, 2008   
  _____  


When in December 2007 an American citizen went on television to tear up his
United States passport, one was reminded of the anti-war movement of the
1960s and '70s. However, in the days of flower power the protesters were
fiercely American, but the man in the modern version belongs to a movement
calling for America's destruction. 


Born Adam Pearlman, these days Adam Yahya Gadahn wears a keffiyeh and a
substantial beard. He is known as al-Qaida's American spokesman, or Azzam
the American. In a 50-minute address he appeals to the anti-war lobby of
today to convert to Islam. That is all it will take for these Americans to
no longer be considered the enemy. Just by saying the conversion verse (La
ilah illa Allah, Muhammad rasoolu Allah. I testify that there is no true god
deity but God, and Muhammad is the Messenger of God) you will be absolved of
all previous sins, he tells his audience. 


Just that, and you will no longer be the target. 


Westerners have that choice, but life-long Muslims seemingly do not. Most of
the deaths at the hands of Sunni terrorists take place right here in the
Middle East. And most of the victims are Muslims. 


But are these the work of al-Qaida? Did Osama Bin Laden or one of his
generals give the specific order to attack the prime-ministerial compound in
Algiers or a group of tourists visiting the ancient synagogue on Djerba,
Tunisia, or the shootings of French and Belgian nationals in Saudi Arabia
and Yemen? 


At the end of 2007 a group claiming to be a part of al-Qaida said the
organization carried out a deadly attack in the West African country. But
did al-Qaida really push the button? 


Welcome to the al-Qaida franchise. 


THE TERM has been used for a while in counter-terror circles and is
beginning to enter the Bush administration lexicon. It is part of a wider
recognition that the al-Qaida label has become much bigger than Bin-Laden
and even al-Qaida itself. 


It may sound like an odd comparison but al-Qaida has become the McDonald's
of the terror world. The modus operandi is pretty much the same around the
world, but the management is different from country to country. 


What terror experts are trying to ascertain is whether those individual
managers are legitimate franchisees or simply stealing the al-Qaida brand
name. 


There does not seem to be a clear cut answer. Al-Qaida in Iraq and Al-Qaida
in the Islamic Maghreb appear to be franchise winners, receiving public
approbation from al-Qaida HQ - somewhere in Afghanistan or Pakistan (we
think). 


However, bombings in the Sinai Peninsula, the operations of Fatah Al-Islam
in Lebanon, the entry into Gaza of various radical Sunni groups, including
the firing of the Grad rocket onto Ashkelon, and dozens of other incidents
around the region are subject to much more debate. 


Intelligence agencies have to painstakingly sort through bomb sites,
destroyed buildings and cars, and even human remains, in order to determine
what types of explosives were used, where they were made and if identical
substances were brought into play elsewhere. 


The Internet of course is another tool used by terrorists and would-be
copycats. There are thousands of Web sites, email rings and chat rooms
devoted to passing on information. Some are simply propaganda tools - where
gruesome videos are distributed - but others not only teach bomb-making
skills, they also enable indirect contact (through at least one
intermediary) with the master terrorists. 


INTERNATIONAL intelligence agencies follow these same paths - both by
monitoring Internet traffic but also by role-playing infiltrations - with
the hope of preventing attacks and locating perpetrators. 


On occasion these hunts do lead to the lairs of al-Qaida, but not always, by
any means. 


The work of counter terrorists in detecting their nemeses is more often than
not in vain. The franchisees, the copycats and al-Qaida HQ have all become
adept at covering their tracks and evading detection. When they suspect the
enemy is close by they shut down existing channels of communication and open
new ones. 


And all the while the attacks continue. 


Whether the terrorists out there are members of al-Qaida or not, they have
adopted the mantras and tactics of Bin-Laden. So far they appear to be
winning, particularly in the Muslim world. And while the United States says,
sometimes almost boastfully, it has not been attacked on home soil since
2001, if the threats from Bin-Laden and 'Azzam the American are to be
believed, it is only a matter of time before al-Qaida or one of its
franchisees launches a major attack in America. 


The writer is the MidEast Bureau Chief of The Media Line news agency

www.themedialine.org

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