http://www.neurope.eu/view_news.php?id=82114
 

It's Putin's pipeline now 

South Stream threatens EU, US projects 

Bulgaria jumped on the South Stream bandwagon on January 18, approving a
draft agreement to put into effect a gas pipeline project designed to secure
Russian gas supplies to the European Union. The agreement is a victory for
Russian President Vladimir Putin since South Stream will undermine the
EUbacked Nabucco project, which aims to supply gas from central Asia to
Europe bypassing Russia. The agreement was signed by Russian Industry and
Energy Minister Viktor Khristenko and Bulgarian Economy and Energy Minister
Peter Dimitrov. Bulgarian and Russian representatives were working on the
draft agreement until late at night on January 17, Bulgarian Prime Minister
Sergei Stanishev said. Representatives were in Sofia two weeks prior to the
visit of Putin negotiating the equity stakes. 
Moscow had rejected Bulgaria's attempts to negotiate a majority stake in the
stretch of the pipeline that will pass through its territory, and the
prospect of an agreement seemed uncertain. But a compromise solution was
reached in Sofia on January 17, stating that both sides will have a 50
percent stake. "Our negotiations in Sofia yielded results that show that
Russian-Bulgarian relations are continuing their upward march," Putin said.
"We reached agreement on a number of important projects; this would not have
been possible if we were not trusted partners." Medvedev said, "It is very
important that the parties have shown willingness to compromise, and the
draft that has been prepared reflects the balance of interests and makes it
possible to move this difficult matter ahead." 
The South Stream project involves laying a pipeline from the Beregovaya
compressor station near Dzhubga in Russia's Krasnodar territory across the
Black Sea to the Bulgarian port of Varna. Gas would then be shipped in two
directions: to southern Italy and to Central Europe. Italy's ENI is
Gazprom's partner in laying the 900-kilometre offshore section of the
pipeline. Other companies may also join the project depending on the
countries through which the onshore pipeline sections pass. The pipeline
could begin exporting gas in 2013. Gazprom CEO Alexei Miller told reporters
in Sofia on January 18 that Gazprom is completing negotiations with Serbia
on plans to build the South Stream gas pipeline. "Negotiations with Serbia
are nearing completion today (January 18), and an intergovernmental
agreement has been drafted," Miller said in Sofia. Besides rivalling
Nabucco, South Stream will also enable Gazprom to bypass Ukraine for more of
its gas exports to the EU, matching the similar proposed Nord Stream
project, from Russia to Germany under the Baltic. 
South Stream, with an estimated cost of 10 billion Euro, will allow Gazprom
to get a strong foothold in Southeast Europe, and strengthen its presence in
the markets of Central and Western Europe, rivalling American and European
plans to limit the EU's dependence on Russia. "There is no question in my
mind that Russia is the largest gas player in Europe, so how could the
Americans be close to that? Russia has a dominant position in the European
natural gas market. They have the largest reserves; they have the largest
infrastructure; they basically control the European gas market; we are not
even close," Fadel Gheit, a senior oil analyst with Oppenheimer & Co in New
York, told New Europe on January 18. 
"Gazprom is almost a quasi-state... so they have competitive advantage that
European companies do not have. They (Gazprom) have bargaining power
European companies do not have." In Sofia, on January 18, Russia, Greece and
Bulgaria signed an agreement between stakeholders on setting up a company
for the project to build the Bourgas-Alexandroupolis pipeline. The pipeline
will transit Greece and Bulgaria and help reduce oil tanker congestion in
the Bosporus and the Dardanelles. The agreement to build and operate the
Bourgas- Alexandroupolis pipeline was signed in Athens on March 15.
Participation in the International Project Company is distributed between
Russia with 51 percent, Bulgaria with 24.5 percent and Greece with 24.5
percent. Putin's visit to Bulgaria brought energy and geopolitical changes
in the Balkans. In addition to the pipeline agreements, Russia wants to buy
Petroleum Industry of Serbia (NIS) and create a junction for Russian energy
in the western Balkans. Serbia acknowledged that Gazprom's offer for a 51
percent stake in oil monopoly NIS is best, but is in no hurry to accept.
Serbian Trade and Services Minister Predrag Bubalo was quoted by the press
as saying that talks with Russia on energy cooperation are held continuously
and there is no deadline for signing an agreement. 
Bubalo said the agreement would be signed, since it has such major
significance for the future of both countries. Infrastructure Minister
Velimir Ilic said Gazprom's offer for the NIS stake was the most acceptable.
Analysts say there was a direct relation between Putin's visit to Bulgaria
and Gazprom's plan to buy NIS. Putin appears to be winning the energy
predominance game in Europe. "It is like a big chess game and everybody is
angling at the other guy," Gheit said. "It goes without saying Putin is
definitely cementing his position slowly. He is very patient; he has a
strategy; he is following it and his parliament is basically rubberstamping
everything he says." But the US-based analyst said Washington is not going
to give up without a fight, and is already pressuring European states not to
accept Moscow's offers. "The US is putting pressure on everybody. 
Again, it's like the old days of the Cold War," Gheit said. "Energy now is
the weapon of the day. It is no longer missiles; it is energy. Those who
have energy resources are in the driver's seat. Energy is scarce; energy is
precious; energy is the backbone of the global economy; and obviously the
countries that have more control of energy resources enjoy an envious type
of position. It goes hand in hand with policies and politics, and so Russia
is playing the energy part." 

 



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