If he lives that long.
 
B 




Shock challenge to Mugabe rule


February 6, 2008 - 7:08AM

The AGE

Some analysts say Simba Makoni's decision could unite President Mugabe's
opponents.

Some analysts say Simba Makoni's decision could unite President Mugabe's
opponents.
Photo: AFP

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A senior member of Zimbabwe leader Robert Mugabe's Government says he will
challenge the African strongman for the presidency in an election next
month.

Simba Makoni, a senior member of Zimbabwe's ruling ZANU-PF, said today he
would run as an independent in the biggest challenge to Mr Mugabe from
within his party in 20 years.

A former finance minister, Mr Makoni, is popular with the business community
and urban voters disenchanted with Mr Mugabe and the main opposition party,
Movement for Democratic Change (MDC).

Zimbabwe's privately owned media has reported that Mr Makoni is backed by a
faction led by retired army general and member of the ruling ZANU-PF party's
top decision-making body, Solomon Mujuru. He is also married to
Vice-President Joyce Mujuru.

Mr Makoni said he had consulted party members and activists across Zimbabwe
before making his decision. Despite economic turmoil, 83-year-old Mr Mugabe
had been expected to win the March 29 election against a weak and divided
opposition.

Mr Makoni will run as an independent because, according to ZANU-PF rules, he
will be automatically expelled from the party.

"This is a major political development in that it confirms the fractures
within ZANU-PF and it will enter this election divided," said political
commentator Eldred Masunungure.

The political fallout may become clearer after ZANU-PF holds a politburo
meeting due in the next few days.

Analysts say shortages of food, foreign currency, fuel and and the world's
highest inflation rate officially pegged at 26,000% present the biggest
challenge to Mr Mugabe's rule.

But the opposition has failed to capitalise on his failure to rescue the
economy, once one of Africa's most promising. It is unclear whether daily
hardship will push Zimbabweans to support Mr Makoni.

'I am not alone'

Mr Makoni, a member of ZANU-PF's top decision-making body, said he and an
overwhelming majority of party members were disappointed that a December
congress had failed to change the party's leadership.

"I have accepted the call and hereby advise the people of Zimbabwe that I
offer myself as a candidate for the office of president of Zimbabwe in the
forthcoming elections," Mr Makoni, who turns 58 on March 26, told a news
conference.

Mr Mugabe, in power since independence from Britain in 1980, is seeking
another five-year term and has vowed to achieve a landslide victory in the
polls to silence the opposition and shame Western foes he says are
sponsoring rivals to oust him.

Journalists has speculated that other party stalwarts might break away to
field a candidate at the election. Mr Makoni said he was backed by several
ZANU-PF officials, whose names would be revealed next week.

"I know I will not be in this campaign alone, there will be many of us, a
great many of us in this campaign," Mr Makoni said.

Mr Makoni said he met Mr Mugabe last week and discussed reports he planned
to lead a breakaway faction. He did not elaborate.

Mr Mugabe has a history of tough crackdowns on both the opposition and party
officials who challenge him. Critics say he has also tightened his grip with
an elaborate patronage system.

In 1989, he swiftly expelled then ruling party secretary general Edgar
Tekere after he had challenged his leadership.

For years, Mr Makoni -- who is regarded as a reform-minded technocrat -- has
been touted as a possible successor to Mr Mugabe. But critics say he is a
political lightweight who does not have the stamina to fight one of Africa's
most combative leaders.

Unlike Mr Mugabe, Mr Makoni has suggested engaging Western powers to ease
Zimbabwe's economic hardship. In 2000, when Mr Makoni became finance
minister, he pledged tighter fiscal discipline to restore relations with
donors.

REUTERS

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