The "little known group" is Islam.  Sub-groupings are irrelevant.
 
B 

Analyzing the Strategies of Terrorism and Counterterrorism

Saberi Roy - 12/15/2008

http://www.globalpolitician.com/25313-terrorism-counterterrorism

The recent terrorist attacks in Mumbai that killed 190 people on November
26-28, 2008 highlight yet another strategy that a little known terrorist
group seems to have used to inflict chaos in a big urban establishment. The
Deccan Mujahideen had claimed responsibility for the attacks although the
final investigation reports suggest the involvement of Pakistan based
militant group, and Al Qaeda clone, Lashkar-e-taiba. These militants are
usually young Muslim men, locally trained in the Kashmir region and Indo-Pak
border regions where they attend rigorous training camps and are prepared
for attacks. Considering terrorist attacks from around the world, a
particular pattern or a theory of terrorism could be drawn based on target
areas, strategies, and these targets and strategies could be linked with
possible solutions or methods to counter such attacks. 

Target Areas

The usual terrorist target areas are:

1. Embassies and Consulates - US and UK embassies and consulates have been
the target of terrorist attacks around the world as in Turkey, Lebanon,
Kenya and Tanzania.
2. Train and Bus Stations - Apart from the London bombings, there have been
suicide bomb attacks in stations of Colombo, Paris, Tel Aviv
3. Airports - Glasgow and Madrid airports have been targets of car bombs and
other airports in Pakistan and Philippines have received threats from
terrorists
4. Markets - Several bombs exploded in open markets of Israel with suicide
bomb attacks by the Hamas
5. Shopping malls - In Israeli cities of Haifa, Jerusalem, in Manila,
Islamabad shopping malls have been repeated targets
6. Casinos - In Israel and in parts of Asia have been attacked
7. Resorts - Bali bombings, Sharm-el-Sheik resort in Egypt are example here
8. Hotels and Restaurants - Mumbai 2008 bombings in the Taj hotel and the
2005 Bali bombings also near the Four Seasons hotel
9. Trains and Buses - Madrid, Mumbai and London have all been soft targets
as it is easy to detonate serial bombs on mass public transportation.
10. Prominent Public and Commercial Buildings and other public areas - The
World Trade Centre, Indian Parliament Building attacks as also the recent
attack in Nariman House Mumbai but other possible targets could be stock
exchanges and offices of prominent multinational companies


Terrorism - Strategies

The most commonly used methods of terrorist strikes are:

1. Suicide/Human Bombs - The Gaza strip and tensions in Middle East are
marked by this sort of bombing and related terror groups around Middle East
practise this strategy
2. Backpacker Bombs - Example would be London bombings and the European
terrorists follow this sort of method
3. Serial Bomb Detonation - This is widely practiced by the Lashkar-e-taiba
in India and Pakistan and several attacks in India have seen this sort of
strategy
4. Indiscriminate Shooting - This is practiced by terrorists in Kashmir and
Indo-Pak border and the current style of Mumbai terrorist attacks of
November 2008 suggest the role Kashmiri militants
5. Aeroplanes as Bombs - As in case of 9/11, Al-Qaeda hallmark and this can
only be practiced by worldwide and large or sufficiently sophisticated
terrorist groups
6. Car Bombs - Practiced by groups to attack public buildings and airports
etc. and a method mainly followed by terrorists in the West


Counter Terrorism - Strategies

1. CCTV - Installation of State of the Art futuristic CCTV facilities at all
public places and buildings.
2. Tighter Security - in Hotels and Public Buildings with armed security
officers and doormen
3. Patrolling - Round the Clock, 24 hour patrolling of men in plain clothes
around public places so that they can stop and search people randomly
4. Increase Counter-terrorism Budget and employ more counter-terrorism
personnel for research, patrolling and monitoring 
5. Extensive Search - Continual search with sophisticated equipment should
be routine exercise for all policing and security personnel, especially near
public places
6. Install and carry out airport like security equipment and measures across
train and bus stations
7. Strict and more effective terror laws with severe sentences for
individuals supporting or inciting terrorism in religious or educational
establishments
8. Border control - with not just effective passport control at the airports
but also along borders, ports and other entry points
9. Establish an International Counterterrorism Organization along the lines
of WHO, Amnesty etc. supported by UN and other world organizations to combat
terror 
10. Locate possible terrorist groups in the local and regional areas with
improved intelligence and monitor their activities - form local terrorist
monitoring units that will report to regional and national monitoring units
11. World leaders should meet and discuss on action plans to destroy
terrorist hideouts and training camps along specific areas such as Kashmir,
Afghan-Pak border, Gaza, Iraq and such regions
12. Launch an extensive worldwide search to arrest all existing terrorists,
terrorist leaders and trainees
13. Terrorism monitoring units should track individual terrorists locally
and monitor their relations with friends, family 
14. Security and counterterrorism personnel should be in close contacts with
family members of possible recruits such as young boys 
15. Monitor and control phone lines and internet activities of all suspected
trainees, religious hate preachers and recruits who may have close contacts
with terrorist groups
16. Raise commuter and public awareness on terrorism and terrorist
activities in local areas


Considering the permutations and combinations of strategies and target
areas, some of the counter-strategies could be established:

Target: Embassies - 

Possible Tactics: Indiscriminate Shooting, Bomb Detonation, Car bombs. 

Although backpacker bombs, human bombs are possible in these cases, they are
highly unlikely considering the levels of security at embassies.

Counterterrorism strategies in this case would be - more effective CCTV
monitoring, tighter security, patrolling around embassies and extensive 24
hour search. 

Target: Train and Bus Stations -

Possible Tactics: Backpacker Bombs, human bombs, indiscriminate shooting,
and serial bomb detonation with bombs placed in dustbins, phone booths etc. 

Counter-terrorism strategies: CCTV monitoring, extensive round the clock
search with sophisticated equipment, tighter security measures and
restrictions at entry gates of bus and train stations

Target: Airports -

Possible Tactics: Airports are difficult places for terrorists because of
high levels of security, although car bombs and indiscriminate shootings
cannot be ruled out.

Counterterrorism strategies: The best strategies could be extremely high
levels of security, armed doormen and security personnel, 24 hour search of
surrounding areas and close CCTV monitoring

Targets - Markets, Resorts, Casinos, Clubs, Shopping Malls

Possible Tactics: All these targets are vulnerable and actually very easy
for terrorists. Resorts and clubs sometimes have tight security although
shopping malls and markets are almost devoid of security measures and are
relatively 'soft targets'. 

Counterterrorism Strategies: Constant search and monitoring of local
terrorist groups and recruits would be necessary with compulsory CCTV
installation. Counter-terrorism personnel in plain clothes should always be
present at these locations.

Targets - Prominent Hotels and Restaurants

Possible Tactics: Shootings, Planting Bombs, Bomb attacks are more likely
than suicide bombs. 

Counter-terrorism strategies: CCTV monitoring for suspicious activities,
security checks at entry points and gates, armed and trained doormen and
constant search are some of the ways that could be used to avoid terrorist
attacks

Targets - Trains and Buses 

Possible Tactics: Backpacker bombs, Suicide bombs, Serial Bomb detonation in
compartments and under seats and even car bombs 

Counter terrorism strategies: This would be again close monitoring of
suspicious activities and a general sense of awareness among commuters.
Security checking should be in place at gates and entry points of bus and
train stations with constant searching for bombs or suspicious objects using
sophisticated search equipment

Target - Public places and Public Buildings

Possible Tactics: Indiscriminate shooting, bomb attacks and bomb detonation

Counterterrorism strategies: Search of surrounding areas, monitoring and
updated knowledge on local terrorist activity as also tight security checks
at gates with trained and armed doormen are some of the ways in which
terrorism could be controlled in public buildings and places.


The recent terrorist attacks in Mumbai highlight the use of strategies often
used by terrorists who are trained at the Indo-Pak border and even if they
have close ties to other Pakistan terror groups, blaming authorities in
Pakistan, is no solution and rather a hindrance to developing a solution for
India's continuous terrorist problems. India will have to enforce strict
laws, spend more of its budget on counterterrorism efforts, and have tighter
security and monitoring around public buildings and public areas such as
stations, airports and markets. Of course India is an open, large, populated
nation and controls and monitoring would be extremely difficult but there
could be an effort to begin increased monitoring and awareness.

Pakistan like Israel and India has to deal with repeated terrorist attacks
and the problem of terrorism in now a common factor that should unite all
governments around the world. So, now the focus should be on trying to
understand the ways in which terrorists and terrorism could be defeated
rather than using terrorism as a catalyst to dig out old international
feuds. India-Pakistan hostility still remains, but this is one issue on
which they can unite. 

 
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