http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/jul/19/obama-afghanistan-strategy-talib
an-negotiate

 


White House shifts Afghanistan strategy towards talks with Taliban


Senior Washington officials tell the Guardian of a 'change of mindset' over
Obama administration's Afghanistan policy

*       Ewen MacAskill <http://www.guardian.co.uk/profile/ewenmacaskill>  in
Washington and Simon <http://www.guardian.co.uk/profile/simontisdall>
Tisdall 
*       guardian.co.uk <http://www.guardian.co.uk> , Monday 19 July 2010
23.49 BST 

Achakzai/Reuters 

The White House is revising its Afghanistan
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/afghanistan>  strategy to embrace the idea
of negotiating with senior members of the Taliban
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/taliban>  through third parties - a policy
to which it had previously been lukewarm.

Negotiating with the Taliban has long been advocated by Hamid Karzai, the
Afghan president, and the British and Pakistani governments, but resisted by
Washington.

The Guardian has learned that while the American government is still
officially resistant to the idea of talks with Taliban leaders, behind the
scenes a shift is under way and Washington is encouraging Karzai to take a
lead in such negotiations.

"There is a change of mindset in DC," a senior official in Washington said.
"There is no military solution. That means you have to find something else.
There was something missing."

That missing element was talks with the Taliban leadership, the official
added.

The American rethink comes in the aftermath of the departure last month of
General Stanley McChrystal, the top US commander in Afghanistan.

Barack Obama, apparently frustrated at the way the war is going, has
reminded his national security advisers that while he was on the election
campaign trail in 2008, he had advocated talking to America's enemies.

America is reviewing its Afghanistan policy which is due for completion in
December, but officials in Washington, Kabul and Islamabad with knowledge of
internal discussions said feelers had been put out to the Taliban.
Negotiations would be conducted largely in secret, through a web of
contacts, possibly involving Pakistan and Saudi Arabia or organisations with
back-channel links to the Taliban.

"It will be messy and could take years," said a diplomatic source.

The change of heart by the US comes as Afghanistan hosts the biggest
international gathering in its capital for 40 years, with representatives
from 60 countries including Hillary Clinton, the US secretary of state, and
Ban Ki-moon, the UN secretary-general.

The dominant theme of the Kabul conference is "reintegration", which
involves reaching out to low-level insurgents to encourage them to lay down
their arms.

Earlier this year Richard Holbrooke, Obama's special envoy to Afghanistan
and Pakistan, distinguished between "reintegration", which the US supported,
and "reconciliation" or negotiating with senior Taliban. Holbrooke said:
"Let me be clear. There is no American involvement in any reconciliation
process."

There is growing disenchantment in the US with the war in Afghanistan and
members of the Senate's foreign relations committee last week questioned
Holbrooke over what they described as a lack of clarity on an exit strategy.

The US has no agreed position on who among the leaders of the insurgency
should be wooed and who would be beyond the pale. The Taliban leader, Mullah
Omar, would be a problem as he provided Osama bin Laden with bases before
the 9/11 attacks.

The US would also find it problematic to deal with the Pakistan-based
insurgents led by Sirajuddin Haqqani, whose group pioneered suicide attacks
in Afghanistan. The third main element in the insurgency is Gulbuddin
Hekmatyar, who has hinted he is ready to break ranks.

A source with knowledge of the process said: "There is no agreed US
position, but there is agreement that Karzai should lead on this. They would
expect the Pakistanis to deliver the Haqqani network in any internal
settlement."

The US has laid down basic conditions for any group seeking negotiations.
They are: end all ties to al-Qaida, end violence, and accept the Afghan
constitution.

A senior Pakistani diplomat said: "The US needs to be negotiating with the
Taliban; those Taliban with no links to al-Qaida. We need a power-sharing
agreement in Afghanistan, and it will have to be negotiated with all the
parties.

"The Afghan government is already talking to all the shareholders, the
Taliban, the Haqqani network, Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, and Mullah Omar. The
Americans have been setting ridiculous preconditions for talks. You can't
lay down such preconditions when you are losing."

Some Afghan policy specialists are sceptical about whether negotiations
would succeed. Peter Bergen, a specialist on Afghanistan and al-Qaida, told
a US Institute of Peace seminar in Washington last week that there were a
host of problems with such a strategy, not least why the Taliban should
enter negotiations "when they think they are winning".

Audrey Kurth Cronin, a member of the US National War College faculty in
Washington, and the author of How Terrorism Ends, said talks with Mullah
Omar and the Haqqani network were pointless because there would be no
negotiable terms.

She said there could be talks with Hekmatyar, but these would be conducted
through back channels, potentially by a third party. Given his support for
jihad, she said, "it would be unreasonable to expect the US and the UK to do
so".

Asked how Obama's Afghan strategy was progressing, a senior former US
government official familiar with the latest Pentagon thinking said: "In a
word, poorly. We seriously need to be developing a revised plan of action
that will allow us a chance to achieve sufficient security in a more
sustainable manner."

Officials have mentioned possible roles in negotiation for the UN and
figures such as the veteran UN negotiator, the Algerian Lakhdar Brahimi, who
heads, along with the retired US ambassador Thomas Pickering, a New
York-based international panel which is looking at such a reconciliation.

Another name mentioned is Michael Semple, an Irishman based in Boston at
Harvard's Kennedy School who has extensive contacts with the Taliban.

 



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