How to Win the Clash of Civilizations

The key advantage of Huntington's famous model is that it describes the
world as it is-not as we wish it to be.


*       By AYAAN HIRSI ALI
<https://mail.google.com/search/term.html?KEYWORDS=AYAAN+HIRSI+ALI&bylinesea
rch=true>  [WSJ 8/18/2010]

What do the controversies around the proposed mosque near Ground Zero, the
eviction of American missionaries from Morocco earlier this year, the
minaret ban in Switzerland last year, and the recent burka ban in France
have in common? All four are framed in the Western media as issues of
religious tolerance. But that is not their essence. Fundamentally, they are
all symptoms of what the late Harvard political scientist Samuel Huntington
called the "Clash of Civilizations," particularly the clash between Islam
and the West.

Huntington's argument is worth summarizing briefly for those who now only
remember his striking title. The essential building block of the post-Cold
War world, he wrote, are seven or eight historical civilizations of which
the Western, the Muslim and the Confucian are the most important.

The balance of power among these civilizations, he argued, is shifting. The
West is declining in relative power, Islam is exploding demographically, and
Asian civilizations-especially China-are economically ascendant. Huntington
also said that a civilization-based world order is emerging in which states
that share cultural affinities will cooperate with each other and group
themselves around the leading states of their civilization.

The West's universalist pretensions are increasingly bringing it into
conflict with the other civilizations, most seriously with Islam and China.
Thus the survival of the West depends on Americans, Europeans and other
Westerners reaffirming their shared civilization as unique-and uniting to
defend it against challenges from non-Western civilizations.

Huntington's model, especially after the fall of Communism, was not popular.
The fashionable idea was put forward in Francis Fukuyama's 1989 essay "The
End of History," in which he wrote that all states would converge on a
single institutional standard of liberal capitalist democracy and never go
to war with each other. The equivalent neoconservative rosy scenario was a
"unipolar" world of unrivalled American hegemony. Either way, we were headed
for One World.

President Obama, in his own way, is a One Worlder. In his 2009 Cairo speech,
he called for a new era of understanding between America and the Muslim
world. It would be a world based on "mutual respect, and . . . upon the
truth that America and Islam are not exclusive and need not be in
competition. Instead, they overlap, and share common principles."

The president's hope was that moderate Muslims would eagerly accept this
invitation to be friends. The extremist minority-nonstate actors like al
Qaeda-could then be picked off with drones.

Of course, this hasn't gone according to plan. And a perfect illustration of
the futility of this approach, and the superiority of the Huntingtonian
model, is the recent behavior of Turkey.

According to the One World view, Turkey is an island of Muslim moderation in
a sea of extremism. Successive American presidents have urged the EU to
accept Turkey as a member on this assumption. But the illusion of Turkey as
the West's moderate friend in the Muslim world has been shattered.

A year ago Turkey's President Recep Erdogan congratulated Iran's Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad on his re-election after he blatantly stole the presidency. Then
Turkey joined forces with Brazil to try to dilute the American-led effort to
tighten U.N. sanctions aimed at stopping Iran's nuclear arms program. Most
recently, Turkey sponsored the "aid flotilla" designed to break Israel's
blockade of Gaza and to hand Hamas a public relations victory.

True, there remain secularists in Istanbul who revere the legacy of Mustafa
Kemal Ataturk, founder of the Republic of Turkey. But they have no hold over
the key government ministries, and their grip over the army is slipping.
Today the talk in Istanbul is quite openly about an "Ottoman alternative,"
which harks back to the days when the Sultan ruled over an empire that
stretched from North Africa to the Caucasus.

If Turkey can no longer be relied on to move towards the West, who in the
Muslim world can be? All the Arab countries except Iraq-a precarious
democracy created by the United States-are ruled by despots of various
stripes. And all the opposition groups that have any meaningful support
among the local populations are run by Islamist outfits like the Egyptian
Muslim Brotherhood.

In Indonesia and Malaysia, Islamist movements are demanding the expansion of
Shariah law. In Egypt, Hosni Mubarak's time is running out. Should the U.S.
support the installation of his son? If so, the rest of the Muslim world
will soon be accusing the Obama administration of double standards-if
elections for Iraq, why not for Egypt? Analysts have observed that in free
and fair elections, a Muslim Brotherhood victory cannot be ruled out.

Algeria? Somalia? Sudan? It is hard to think of a single predominantly
Muslim country that is behaving according to the One World script.

The greatest advantage of Huntington's civilizational model of international
relations is that it reflects the world as it is-not as we wish it to be. It
allows us to distinguish friends from enemies. And it helps us to identify
the internal conflicts within civilizations, particularly the historic
rivalries between Arabs, Turks and Persians for leadership of the Islamic
world.

But divide and rule cannot be our only policy. We need to recognize the
extent to which the advance of radical Islam is the result of an active
propaganda campaign. According to a CIA report written in 2003, the Saudis
invested at least $2 billion a year over a 30-year period to spread their
brand of fundamentalist Islam. The Western response in promoting our own
civilization was negligible.

Our civilization is not indestructible: It needs to be actively defended.
This was perhaps Huntington's most important insight. The first step towards
winning this clash of civilizations is to understand how the other side is
waging it-and to rid ourselves of the One World illusion.

Ms. Ali, a former member of the Dutch parliament, is the author of "Nomad:
>From Islam to America-A Personal Journey through the Clash of
Civilizations," which has just been published by Free Press.

No answer in Ali's essay, nor in Huntington-a cultural relativist.  The only
way the West can win the clash is to win the war against Islam-and this will
not be done by words.  But the West itself is decadent, so this is not the
end of my comment.

Eidelberg




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