http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2010/aug/29/no-letup-in-iraq-for-some-mi
litary-forces/

 


No letup in Iraq for some military forces


Special operations to tackle new challenges after U.S. drawdown


By Rowan <http://www.washingtontimes.com/staff/rowan-scarborough/>
Scarborough

-

The Washington Times

8:21 p.m., Sunday, August 29, 2010

As U.S. <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/us-military/>  military
forces continue to stream out of Iraq
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/iraq/> , formally ending combat
operations on Tuesday, one of the most effective elements of those forces
missed the drawdown completely.

There are as many special operations forces in the country now as there were
when the exit began last year.

President Obama <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/barack-obama/> , who
as a U.S. <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-of-america/>
senator opposed a 2007 troop surge and called for withdrawing all troops
from Iraq <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/iraq/> , is set Tuesday to
tell the nation that combat missions by Americans are officially over. There
are now fewer than 50,000 American troops in Iraq
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/iraq/> , down from a surge-high of
168,000 in late 2007.

New challenges begin. An Iraqi security force of about 670,000 troops will
have to shoulder the brunt of attacking insurgents, while Iraqi politicians
seek an elusive deal to form a new parliamentary government.

"In reality, the Iraqis have been doing the majority of the security work
for some time now," Army Gen. Raymond
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/raymond-t-odierno/>  Odierno, the top
U.S. <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-of-america/>
commander in Iraq <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/iraq/> , told PBS
last week. "And so I feel very confident that they will be able to continue.
There will be ups and downs. There will be bad days, but they will continue
to provide adequate security."

Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/nouri-al-maliki/>  underscored the
"bad days" on Sunday, as he put the fledgling democracy on its highest
terror-alert level. Stepped-up attacks are expected from al Qaeda
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/al-qaeda/>  and groups still loyal to
the Iraqi Ba'ath <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/iraqi-baath-party/>
Party regime of Saddam Hussein
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/saddam-hussein/>  to show that
government forces cannot contain violence.

"The lack of a government obviously makes people nervous, and it provides
some uncertainty," Gen. Odierno
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/raymond-t-odierno/>  said. "But what
I've been proud of is the Iraqis' security forces have remained neutral.
They've done their job according to the constitution."

There is wiggle room in the status-of-forces agreement with Baghdad that was
worked out in 2008, in the waning days of the George
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/george-w-bush-administration/>  W.
Bush administration. Pentagon
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/pentagon/>  officials expect some
U.S. <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-of-america/>
forces to remain, even though the agreement calls for all troops to be out
of Iraq <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/iraq/>  by Dec. 31, 2011.

Those holdovers may include some of the 3,000 Army Green Berets, Navy SEALs,
Army Delta Force <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/army-delta-force/>
and other specialized warriors who remain locked in combat.

With regular U.S.
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-of-america/>  ground
combat brigades leaving, special forces commandos have become the key to
successfully handing over all military duties to the Iraqis 15 months from
now.

The commandos train Iraqis to do the jobs of American soldiers. They also
make up joint terrorist-hunting units with government troops to rid the
country of al Qaeda <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/al-qaeda/>
operatives tied to Osama
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/osama-bin-laden/>  bin Laden in
Pakistan <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/pakistan/> .

The U.S. <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-of-america/>
no longer conducts any unilateral operations, said Army Lt. Col. Terry
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/terry-conder/>  Conder, a spokesman
for special operations force units in Iraq
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/iraq/> .

"There was no reduction of SOF during the drawdown," Col. Conder
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/terry-conder/>  said. "The U.S.
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-of-america/>  special
operations mission has not changed."

Special operations troops working in the background have been credited with
capturing and killing scores of al Qaeda
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/al-qaeda/>  terrorists in Iraq
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/iraq/> , including the 2006 raid that
killed al Qaeda <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/al-qaeda/>  leader
Abu Musab Zarqawi.

The burden is falling not only on special operators. The Iraqis will rely
heavily on CIA
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-central-intelligence-ag
ency/>  officers, who will remain for the foreseeable future to help
identify and eradicate insurgents.

A big part of the 2007 troop surge was an emphasis on intelligence
collection to locate and then kill or capture insurgent leaders.

"Challenges are substantial, and I suspected they will increase," said Bart
Bechtel <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/bart-bechtel/> , a former CIA
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-central-intelligence-ag
ency/>  operations officer in the region.

Mr. <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/bart-bechtel/>  Bechtel said that
if CIA
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-central-intelligence-ag
ency/>  officers lack protection from the U.S. military
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/us-military/> , it will be more
difficult to find human intelligence sources.

"As we draw down our troops, one effect will be fewer eyes and ears on the
ground and out in the countryside," Mr. Bechtel
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/bart-bechtel/>  said. "I fear that
[recruited spies and informants] will suffer greatly, if our intel
collectors are significantly confined within the Green Zone. Already, there
are substantial threats to any asset cooperating with the U.S. Those threats
can only increase. Validating intelligence from human sources becomes more
difficult if our officers are unable to get out amongst the population
obtaining ground truth directly themselves."

He added that "a great deal will depend on how unstable the country becomes
as we withdraw. Increasing instability means less freedom of operating. It
is not impossible to operate in very hostile environments, it is just very
limiting. I only hope that management [at CIA
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-central-intelligence-ag
ency/>  headquarters] in Langley, Va., and in the field do not become
risk-averse to the extent that it is unwilling to do what is needed to
succeed in our missions."

The State Department is taking steps to make sure its contingent of some
5,000 diplomats and staff is protected. It plans to hire more
private-security bodyguards to replace its military protectors, in effect
creating its own army of protectors.

And there is a second enemy: Iran
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/islamic-republic-of-iran/> .

Gen. Odierno <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/raymond-t-odierno/>
said that Iran
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/islamic-republic-of-iran/> 's
intelligence and special operations agents continue to help insurgent
Shiites launch attacks.

"I would just say they continue to be involved in violence specifically
directed at U.S.
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-of-america/>  forces,
in direct-fire attacks, things like that," he said. "In some areas where
there are some intra-Shia issues, I believe they're . influencing some
action by intimidation. So they are behind this. They are training people.
They are supplying people with weapons. They continue to be involved in
this."

John Pike, who directs Globalsecurity.org, said the challenges remain
daunting, as they did before the surge.

"Iraq <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/iraq/>  faces pretty much the
same challenges post 31 August as it has for the past couple of years," he
said. "Al Qaeda <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/al-qaeda/>  has not
been suppressed, corruption is rampant, the political system is deadlocked,
Iran <http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/islamic-republic-of-iran/>  has
significant political influence, high levels of violence persist, their
military remains incapable of either operating without U.S.
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/topics/united-states-of-america/>  support
or defending the country against external enemies."

But Baghdad can persevere.

"Belgium's government is also deadlocked," Mr. Pike said. "Caracas has
violence comparable to Baghdad, and yet the sun still comes up in the east
every day. Seriously dysfunctional countries can muddle through somehow,
even if they are not attractive vacation destinations."

 



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