http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/10/28/AR2010102806
270.html

 

The great campaign of 2010

By Charles Krauthammer
Thursday, October 28, 2010; 9:45 PM 

In a radio interview that aired Monday on Univision, President Obama chided
Latinos who "sit out the election instead of saying, 'We're gonna punish our
enemies and we're gonna reward our friends who stand with us on issues that
are important to us.' " Quite a uniter, urging Hispanics to go to the polls
to exact political revenge on their enemies - presumably, for example, the
near-60 percent of Americans who support the new Arizona immigration law. 

This from a president who won't even use "enemies" to describe an Iranian
regime that is helping kill U.S. soldiers in Afghanistan. This from a man
who rose to prominence thunderously declaring that we were not blue states
or red states, not black America or white America or Latino America - but
the United States of America. 

This is how the great post-partisan, post-racial, New Politics presidency
ends - not with a bang, not with a whimper, but with a desperate
election-eve plea for ethnic retribution. 

Yet press secretary Robert Gibbs's dismay is reserved for Senate Republican
leader Mitch McConnell and the "disappointing" negativity of his admission
that "the single most important thing we want to achieve is for President
Obama to be a one-term president." 

McConnell, you see, is supposed to say that he will try very hard to work
with the president after the election. But it is blindingly clear that
nothing of significance will be enacted. Over the next two years,
Republicans will not be able to pass anything of importance to them - such
as repealing Obamacare - because of the presidential veto. And the Democrats
will be too politically weakened to advance, let alone complete, Obama's
broad transformational agenda. 

That would have to await victory in 2012. Every president gets two bites at
the apple: the first 18 months when he is riding the good-will honeymoon,
and a second shot in the first 18 months of a second term before
lame-duckness sets in. 

Over the next two years, the real action will be not in Congress but in the
bowels of the federal bureaucracy. Democrats will advance their agenda on
Obamacare, financial reform and energy by means of administrative
regulation, such as carbon-emission limits imposed unilaterally by the
Environmental Protection Agency. 

But major congressional legislation to complete Obama's social-democratic
agenda? Not a chance. That's why McConnell has it right. The direction of
the country will be determined in November 2012 when either Obama gets a
mandate to finish building his "New Foundation" or the Republicans elect one
of their own to repeal it, or what (by then) remains repealable. 

Gibbs's disapproving reaction to this obvious political truth is in keeping
with the convention that all things partisan or ideological are to be
frowned upon as "divisive." This is pious nonsense. What is the point of a
two-party democracy if not to present clear, alternative views of the role
of government and, more fundamentally, the balance between liberty and
equality - the central issue for any democracy? 

The beauty of this year's campaign, and the coming one in 2012, is that they
actually have a point. Despite the noise, the nonsense, the distractions,
the amusements - who will not miss New York's seven-person gubernatorial
circus act? - this is a deeply serious campaign about a profoundly serious
political question. 

Obama, to his credit, did not get elected to do midnight basketball or
school uniforms. No Bill Clinton he. Obama thinks large. He wants to be a
consequential president on the order of Ronald Reagan. His forthright
attempt to undo the Reagan revolution with a burst of expansive liberal
governance is the theme animating this entire election. 

Democratic apologists would prefer to pretend otherwise - that it's all
about the economy and the electorate's anger over its parlous condition.
Nice try. The most recent CBS/New York Times poll shows that only one in 12
Americans blames the economy on Obama, and seven in 10 think the downturn is
temporary. And yet, the Democratic Party is falling apart. Democrats are
four points behind among women, a constituency Democrats had owned for
decades; a staggering 20 points behind among independents (a 28-point swing
since 2008); and 20 points behind among college graduates, giving lie to the
ubiquitous liberal conceit that the Republican surge is the revenge of
lumpen know-nothings. 

On Nov. 2, a punishing there will surely be. But not quite the kind Obama is
encouraging. 

My prediction: The Dems lose 60 House seats, eight in the Senate. Rangers in
seven. 

 

 

 



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