http://homelandsecuritynewswire.com/growing-worries-about-security-suez-cana
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Crisis in Egypt


Growing worries about security of Suez Canal


Published 1 February 2011

More than 35,000 ships crossed the Suez in 2009, about 10 percent of them
oil tankers; if the Suez Canal were to close, oil tankers would be forced to
sail around southern Africa -- adding some 6,000 miles to the journey; this
translates to an extra twelve days traveling from Saudi Arabia to Houston;
based solely on speculation and risk, experts say the price of crude oil has
gone up $5.00 a barrel since Friday; U.S. officials keep silent about how
the United States might respond if Egyptian officials could no longer
guarantee safe passage for the tens of thousands of ships that pass through
the canal each year

http://homelandsecuritynewswire.com/sites/default/files/imagecache/standard/
suez-1.jpg

One among thousands of ships transiting the Suez annually // Source:
planetware.com

U.S. officials do not want to talk about what might happen if the crisis in
Egypt endangers international shipping - and many of the world's oil tankers
- through the Suez Canal.

"I'm not going to get into a series of hypotheticals," White House press
secretary Robert Gibbs said when asked how the United States might respond
if Egyptian officials could no longer guarantee safe passage for the tens of
thousands of ships that pass through the canal each year. More than 35,000
ships crossed the Suez in 2009, about 10 percent of them oil tankers. For
now the canal remains open, and traffic is still flowing normally.

Marvin Kalb, a Fox News contributor and senior fellow at the Joan
Shorenstein Center on the Press, Politics and Public Policy added, "The
control of the Suez Canal is central, and it's been central now for 100
years. Why? Not only commerce from Europe to the rest of the world, but oil
coming around from the Arabian Peninsula."

Fox News reports
<http://www.foxnews.com/world/2011/01/31/concerns-grow-security-suez-canal-s
hipping-route/>  that if the Suez Canal were to close, oil tankers would be
forced to sail around southern Africa - adding some 6,000 miles to the
journey.

One analyst said that translates to an extra twelve days traveling from
Saudi Arabia to Houston.

James Hamilton, professor of economics at UC-San Diego, said shutting down
the Suez Canal today would not be as bad as the 1956-57 closure.

Hamilton points out there are now bigger tankers - too big for the canal -
and pipelines.

The bigger issue, according to Hamilton, is whether the protests will spill
over into other countries.

"If we did see something happening in places like Iran, or further
difficulties in Iraq," Hamilton said.

Still, based solely on speculation and risk, experts say the price of crude
oil has gone up $5.00 a barrel since Friday.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) maintains the
market is well supplied. "There are folks obviously in the NEC (National
Economic Council) that are monitoring any impact that uncertainty or unrest
has throughout the financial markets," Gibbs said.

"We have, thus far, to my knowledge, not seen disruptions in, for instance,
in the Suez, which obviously is tremendously important to the movement of
goods."

 



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