<http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/03/nato-chief-opens-the-door-to-libya-
ground-troops/>
http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/03/nato-chief-opens-the-door-to-libya-g
round-troops/ 

NATO Chief Opens The Door to Libya Ground Troops
<http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/03/nato-chief-opens-the-door-to-libya-
ground-troops/> 

*       By Spencer Ackerman
<http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/author/spencer_ackerman/>  
*       March 29, 2011  |  

 
<http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/03/nato-chief-opens-the-door-to-libya-
ground-troops/1992-2001-co-c-3-116th-bosnia/> 
The mantra, from President Obama
<http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/03/sound-off-whaddaya-think-of-obamas-
libya-speech/>  on down, is that ground forces are totally ruled out for
Libya. After all, the United Nations Security Council Resolution authorizing
the war explicitly rules out any "occupation" forces. But leave it to the
top military officer of NATO, which takes over the war on Wednesday, to add
an asterisk to that ban.

During a Senate hearing on Tuesday, Sen. Jack Reed of Rhode Island asked
Adm. James Stavridis about NATO putting forces into "post-Gadhafi" Libya to
make sure the country doesn't fall apart. Stavridis said he "wouldn't say
NATO's considering it yet." But because of NATO's history of putting
peacekeepers in the Balkans - as pictured above - "the possibility of a
stabilization regime exists."

So welcome to a new possible "endgame" for Libya. Western troops patrolling
Libya's cities during a a shaky transition after Moammar Gadhafi's regime
has fallen, however that's supposed to happen. Thousands of NATO troops
patrolled Bosnia and Kosovo's tense streets for years. And Iraq and
Afghanistan taught the U.S. and NATO very dearly that fierce insurgent
conflict can follow the end of a brutal regime. In fact, it's the moments
after the regime falls that can be the most dangerous of all - especially if
well-intentioned foreign troops become an object of local resentment.

In fact, Stavridis told Sen. James Inhofe of Oklahoma that he saw "flickers
of intelligence" indicating "al-Qaeda [and] Hezbollah" have fighters amongst
the Libyan rebels. The Supreme Allied Commander of NATO noted that the
leadership of the rebels are "responsible men and women struggling against
Col. Gadhafi" and couldn't say if the terrorist element in the opposition is
"significant." But the U.S. knows precious little about who the Libyan
rebels are.

The new prospect of NATO force on the ground in Libya seemed to alarm Sen.
Joe Manchin of West Virginia, who got Stavridis to say that there's "no
discussion of the insertion of ground troops" in NATO circles. (And "to my
knowledge" there aren't troops there now, he said.) But Stavridis told Reed
that the memory of the long NATO peacekeeping efforts in the Balkans is "in
everyone's mind."

President Obama boasted about the rapidity with which the U.S. and its
allies got involved in Libya. Some defense wonks, like Andrew Exum of the
Center for a New American Security, criticized Obama's team for not
exhibiting diligent planning <http://cnas.org/node/6060>  before Operation
Odyssey Dawn began. Obama didn't signal an endgame in his Monday speech,
just vowing not to use any ground forces to get there.

That was exactly what President Clinton promised in Bosnia - right before
sending 20,000 U.S. soldiers
<http://articles.cnn.com/1995-12-03/world/Bosnia_updates_dec95_12-03_clinton
_1_bosnia-mission-croats-bosnia-peace-accord?_s=PM:WORLD>  to enforce the
1995 Balkans peace deal. Because of the U.S.' commitments to NATO and NATO's
commitments to enforcing the peace accord, U.S. peacekeepers ended up
staying there for a decade
<http://www.stripes.com/news/as-u-s-forces-leave-experts-debate-success-of-b
osnia-mission-1.26565> . That history may be weighing on officers in Europe,
but the Obama administration doesn't seem to be so troubled.

Update, 12:08 p.m.: Stavridis argued that it's "premature" to talk about an
exit strategy for Libya. And as a way of underscoring NATO's resolve, he
reminded senators that nearly 12 years after NATO's Kosovo air war, there
are still 5000 peacekeepers in Kosovo, including 700 Americans.

Update, 12:33 p.m.: Got a question about the difference between Stavridis'
two jobs - chief of U.S. European Command and NATO military leader - as it
applies to Libya? Check out a blog post Stavridis wrote about it on Monday
<http://useucom.wordpress.com/2011/03/28/odyssey-dawn-unified-protector-here
s-what-it-means/> .

Photo: National Guard

 
<http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2011/03/nato-chief-opens-the-door-to-libya-
ground-troops/> 




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