Hamas fires 24 Grads, 50 missiles Saturday. A million Israelis still in
shelters 
DEBKAfile Special Report April 9, 2011, 6:08 PM (GMT+02:00)

http://www.debka.com/dynmedia/photos/2011/04/08/big/GAZAIdftankshelling8.4.1
1.jpg

Israeli tank in action against missile firing teams in Gaza

 

Saturday, April 9, Hamas and its allies, acting now on Hizballah guidelines
from Lebanon, fired 24 heavy Grad missiles and more than 50 mortars rounds
at seven southern Israeli towns in an expanding radius up to Palmahim in the
north. Despite bomb shelters and home guard measures, 20 Israelis were
injured or suffered shock. After 17 Hamas and other commanders were targeted
in 48 hours of Israel counter-attacks, Hamas requested a ceasefire through
the UN. It came from the Islamist organization's political echelons. Israel
replied the request would only be addressed only if it came from Hamas
military leaders, who rather than abating their rocket offensive on the
Israeli population are intensifying it.




The Palestinian missile violence Saturday began before dawn with Grad
missiles exploding north of Israel's second main port city of Ashdod, south
of Kiryat Gat and outside Ofakim. Sirens warning of a missile attack were
heard in Gedera and Gan Yavneh. As a million Israeli civilians spent another
day in bomb shelters, four Grad missiles landed in Ashkelon Saturday
afternoon.




>From Thursday, the innovative Iron Dome anti-missile system intercepted five
of the Grad missiles aimed at Beersheba, Ashdod and Ashkelon. Early
Saturday, as 25 Palestinian mortar shells hailed down on the Eshkol
district, the IDF hit a car carrying three Hamas field commanders in Khan
Younis. They were all killed. DEBKAfile's military sources report that
Israel's defense chiefs are reassessing tactics in view of the newly
ferocious level of Hamas belligerence under direction from Hizballah.




DEBKAfile reported earlier:  Friday night, April 8, more than 60 Hamas and
Jihad Islami mortar shells and missiles hit Israeli towns, villages and
farms on the Israeli side of the Gaza border and injured a civilian. This
heightened Israeli fury over Hamas's attack on a school bus Thursday, April
7, using a sophisticated Cornet anti-tank missile for the first time. A
16-year old boy was critically wounded. This attack was followed by 50
Palestinian rockets and mortar rounds, a blitz which had not abated by
Friday night despite constant Israeli counteraction.

 

DEBKAfile discloses the mounting violence has more than one objective:
Hamas is trying to establish new rules for the conflict on advice and
directives coming from its Lebanese ally, Hizballah, to step up its barrage
on Israel by 25 percent. The IDF is forced to respond to the resulting
escalation in kind.

Our intelligence sources report that Hamas was advised by Hizballah to blitz
Israel into relinquishing the 500-meter deep security strip the IDF
established inside the Gaza border when Palestinian fire on Israel continued
after it was temporarily reduced by the 2009 Cast Lead operation.

 

Hizballah leaders are telling Hamas they should be able to bring their
forward and firing positions right up to the Israeli border, a convenience
enjoyed by HIzballah on the Lebanese-Israeli frontier ever since 2000 when
Israel quit southern Lebanon.

 

The IDF is fighting to hold on to this buffer zone to keep Palestinian
terrorists back from breaching the border for direct attacks in Israel. The
soldiers keep Palestinian gunmen from accessing this strip of land and
impose restrictions on Gazan farmers seeking to till their fields in a strip
which covers 15 percent of the enclave's arable land. (Farmers of the Eshkol
district on the other side of the border are regularly targeted for attack.)

Hamas is threatening to raise the cross-border violence until Israeli troops
pull back to the border. Its anti-tank missile attack on the school bus
Thursday was the opening shot of its battle for the buffer zone.

The IDF's tactics for countering Hamas aggression remain unchanged, except
in scale: In the last 48 hours, Israeli helicopters, mortars, tanks and
naval units have been pounding the Gaza Strip while Hamas releases barrages
of dozens of missile and mortar attacks on villages and towns - practically
without pause. Israeli civilians were told to stay close to bomb shelters in
the days to come. Schools, road traffic, public transport and businesses
will function intermittently.

 

Israeli military planners are still playing the familiar tit-for-tat game
which never in the past stopped the aggression from Gaza. Nevertheless,
DEBKAfile's military sources point to some notable differences in the
current round.




The Iron Dome system designed in Israel to intercept short-range rockets was
experimentally deployed in the important towns of Beersheba and Ashkelon
this week.  Friday, the system intercepted three missiles aimed at Ashkelon,
although it caught only one of several Thursday.




The IDF importantly demonstrated it is fully capable of launching another
major military campaign in the Gaza Strip. The broad scale of its land, sea
and air reprisals since Thursday, April 7, was intended to remind Hamas and
its allies, especially the Iranian-backed Jihad Islami, of the devastation
wrought the enclave they rule by Israel's 2009 Cast Lead operation.

 

A possible Cast Lead II was in the air after Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin
Netanyahu said Thursday during a visit to Prague: Attacks on children cross
a red line. Those who carry out such attacks should know that their blood is
on their heads." 




On the other side of the ledger, the new rulers of Egypt are in the process
of unraveling Hosni Mubarak's peace relations with Israel - asDEBKAfile has
reported - and engaging in rapprochement with the Gaza and Damascus centers
of the two radical Palestinian organizations.




Since the Israeli government has not adjusted its policies to the new
developments, its military tactics are operating in a vacuum and will have
little deterrent effect. The current upsurge of Hamas-Jihad aggression will
therefore go on.

 

DEBKAfile's military experts maintain that the tactics of massive firepower
without ground operations have run their course. There is no way to wipe out
the increasingly sophisticated heavy weapons arsenal Hamas has been allowed
to amass from the air. So the half a million Israeli civilians of the
Western Negev and the southern coastal towns must continue to live under
their shadow instead of having normal lives. Often, many cannot make it to
work and schools, places of business and traffic can operate only
intermittently.

 

Since Thursday, IDF operations have been sweeping across a broad front in
the Gaza Strip from the old air field at Dahaniyeh in the south up to the
northern fringes of Gaza City.

 

In the south, Khan Younes and Deir al Balakh took the severest beating. The
former went dark Thursday night after Israeli airborne and surface missiles
knocked out the local electricity grid. In Deir Balakh, a Hamas base built
deliberately near a hospital took an airborne rocket, a signal that all such
facilities would no longer be immune from attack.

 

In the Gaza City region, Israeli helicopters, tanks and naval ships bombed
two main Hamas military installations - Abu Jerad and Rantisi.

 

The Palestinians reported 10 killed, including the commander of missile
operations at the Shati refugee camp, and scores wounded, thereupon loosing
off 50 missiles and mortar rounds - as usual, against civilian locations. In
Ashkelon, Iron Dome intercepted its first missile Thursday, but missed the
rest - scoring a partial success

For the first time in three years, Hamas appealed to Cairo to broker a
ceasefire. Israeli did not bother to respond since the rulers of Gaza have
violated every agreed ceasefire in the past. Hamas reached out to the new
Egyptian regime following its moves towards a rapprochement and a
Palestinian diplomatic initiative.
DEBKAfile's intelligence sources disclose that last week, the head of
Egypt's intelligence services Maj. Gen. Mourad Mowafi visited Damascus. He
obtained permission from Syria's beleaguered president Bashar Assad to meet
Hamas' political leader Khaled Meshaal and Abdullah Ramadan Salah of the
Palestinian Jihad Islami and hand them an invitation to visit Cairo.

 

He then informed them that the new Egyptian leaders are willing to help
negotiate Hamas' reconciliation with Mahmoud Abbas' Fatah on the following
basis: Hamas would accept the two-state solution of the Palestinian-Israeli
conflict but Egypt would not press for the second part of the formula
endorsed by Washington and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, namely that
"the two states live alongside each other in peace and security."

This amended formula would leave Hamas and the other radical Palestinian
organizations free to continue their violent campaign of "resistance"
against Israel while making peace with the rival Fatah and gaining a
Palestinian state on the West Bank.

 

These days, Hamas is sure it is on a win-win course and has little to fear
from stepping up its war on Israel until it gets what it wants. 

 



[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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