http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/20/us-usa-energy-obama-speculators-idUSTRE73J1NN20110420
or
http://tinyurl.com/3n66e2s


Gasoline Prices and Speculators: They Think You Are Stupid



by Joseph Svetlic 

April 25, 2011

It is with great interest that I read this past week about the President's 
initial response to rising gas prices.  What or who was to blame?  According to 
the President...speculators.  Nameless, faceless speculators 
<http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/20/us-usa-energy-obama-speculators-idUSTRE73J1NN20110420>
 .  They are to blame for the rising price of crude oil up and the accompanying 
price at the pump!

 

"The problem is...speculators and people make various bets, and they say, you 
know what, we think that maybe there's a 20 percent chance that something might 
happen in the Middle East that might disrupt oil supply, so we're going to bet 
that oil is going to go up real high.  And that spikes up prices significantly."

 

Now this interested me because I worked in the petroleum industry and I studied 
energy law at law school, and I have taken a strong interest in macroeconomics 
in recent years.  (I read Market Ticker <http://market-ticker.org/>  and Zero 
Hedge <http://www.zerohedge.com/> , if you are wondering.)  I'm going to 
disregard for this note the fact that higher gas prices are not objectionable 
at all to our President, despite the fact that they are connected to every 
product we buy.  He doesn't have a problem with high gas prices 
<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5M1WlV7vafk> , only wishing that they become 
high on a gradual basis.  I'm also going to ignore the moratorium on drilling 
in the Gulf and general opposition to domestic exploration and production of 
petroleum by this Administration.

 

No, the main culprit here isn't the nameless, faceless "speculators" that are 
now the object of the President's scorn, but government policy itself, both 
with the Federal Reserve (monetary) and the budget deficits accrued in recent 
years (fiscal).  What is going on is that the government is trying to deflect 
blame to these nameless, faceless speculators for their own disastrous fiscal 
and monetary policies.

 

In other words, they think you are stupid.

 

Let me remind you that the Federal Reserve (Fed) began "quantitative easing" 
(using printed money to buy assets, chiefly Treasury Bonds) in September 2008 
with over $2 trillion 
<http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2010/11/04/Why-Do-We-Need-QE-2-If-QE-1-Worked-So-Darn-Well.aspx>
 .  "QE1" continued through the end of the first quarter of 2010, the end of 
March 2010.   Thereafter, we got QE2 
<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PTUY16CkS-k> , which continues to this very day 
but is slowly wrapping up QE2 is a third the size of QE1, but it means the 
same: monetizing debt.

 

On the fiscal side, our President has run up a lot of debt in the past two 
years, despite running in 2008 on a "net spending cut 
<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GOZpJ4rSITo> ."  He's up to nearly 4 trillion 
in debt 
<http://www.thestreet.com/story/10959884/national-debt-a-look-at-presidents-tabs.html>
  over just a little more than two years.

 

How are we financing this?  Well, the Fed is stepping up to  buy 70% of 
treasuries 
<http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-20/federal-reserve-places-70-per-security-limit-on-treasury-debt-holdings.html>
 .  They're doing it with printed money, "quantitative easing."  What's the 
effect of this?  You're dollar is worth less.  Using printed money to buy the 
debt of the same country will inflate the currency.  Our dollar is not backed 
by anything.  It floats.  Therefore, the money that you have has been 
drastically devalued since the onset of "quantitative easing."  This is what I 
call "loose money."

 

Why is it important to you?  Because inflation is a stealth tax 
<http://www.americanthinker.com/cgi-bin/at-admin/=%22http:/en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stealth_tax#Inflation_as_stealth_taxation>
  on every dollar you have.

 

Whom does this hurt the most?  The poor and those on fixed incomes.  To any 
progressives reading this who really do want to help the poor reach the middle 
class and get off government assistance: is the way to help them through a 
stealth 20% tax on every dollar they have in their pocket, a unilateral tax 
that bypasses Congress?  That stealth, regressive tax can only drive more 
middle class into being poor, right?  Shouldn't we want every dollar they own 
to have maximum purchasing power, to be worth as much as possible?  Does this 
have anything to do, you suppose, with the record number 
<http://money.cnn.com/2011/04/12/news/economy/government_safety_net/index.htm>  
on food stamps, one in six Americans?

 

These are the ravages of a loose monetary policy, high-deficit, spendthrift 
government.  It is impoverishment.  It is precisely the opposite of what is 
necessary for a true, strong recovery.  A true recovery will feature fiscal 
responsibility and a strong dollar.  The President ran in part on such a 
platform in 2008, promising a "net spending cut."  Had he run on 
trillion-dollar deficits and monetizing debt, he would've never been elected.  
Such a strong recovery will have to wait until the President and Fed Chairman 
are replaced, beginning in 2013.

 

This spendthrift, loose (and reckless) policy is also reflected in the price of 
gold and silver, which are historical safe harbors from inflation because (as 
precious metals) they store value and are never worthless.  Gold as of this 
writing was over $1,500/oz, silver over $46/oz.  Gold at the beginning of the 
Obama Administration was just over $850/oz, silver at under $11.50/oz.  Just 
this month, the price of silver skyrocketed from $40/oz to $45/oz in only 12 
days.  The loss of confidence in the dollar has been striking.

 

So, they are hoping that you don't pay attention to their fiscal and monetary 
policy.  They want you to blame nameless, faceless "speculators" for the rise 
in the price of gas, even though everything else has risen, thanks to their 
loose monetary policy and spendthrift fiscal policy.  They want you to ignore 
the rise in commodity prices and the drastic hike in gold and silver.  They 
think you'll go after the nameless, faceless "speculators" because they think 
you are stupid.

 

My question is this: Are they right about you?

 







[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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