Iraq - A Province of Iran?

by Daniel Pipes
The Washington Times 
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/may/11/iraq-a-province-of-iran/> 
May 12, 2011

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After American forces leave Iraq at the end of 2011, Tehran will try to turn 
its neighbor into a satrapy 
<http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC04.php?CID=342> , i.e., a 
satellite state, to the great detriment of Western, moderate Arab, and Israeli 
interests.

Intense Iranian efforts are already underway, with Tehran sponsoring militias 
in Iraq and sending its own forces into Iraqi border areas 
<http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/17/world/middleeast/17border.html> . Baghdad 
responds with weakness, with its chief of staff proposing a regional pact with 
Iran <http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/xinhua/2011-05-03/content_2496713.html>  and 
top politicians ordering attacks on the Mujahedeen-e-Khalq (MeK), an Iranian 
dissident organization with 3,400 members resident in Camp Ashraf, 60 miles 
northeast of Baghdad. The MeK issue reveals Iraqi subservience to Iran with 
special clarity. Note some recent developments:

On April 7, the MeK released 
<http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/report/2011/iran-secret-site-110407.htm>
  intelligence exposing Iran's growing capacity to enrich uranium, a revelation 
the Iranian foreign minister quickly confirmed 
<http://arabnews.com/middleeast/article351068.ece> .


http://www.danielpipes.org/pics/new/large/1449.jpg

Still from a Fox News video of Iraqi military forces assaulting Camp Ashraf.

On April 8, even as U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates visited Iraq, the 
country's armed forces attacked Ashraf. Fox News 
<http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/04/15/video-captures-iraqi-forces-killing-iranian-dissidents/>
  and CNN <http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x3aSm2JjjIs&feature=related>  footage 
shows Iraqis in U.S.-supplied armored personnel carriers, Humvees, and 
bulldozers running down unarmed residents as sharpshooters shot at them, 
killing 34 people and injuring 325. The top secret plan-to-attack order of the 
Iraqi military, "Iraqi Security Forces Operation Order No. 21, Year 2011 
<http://iranpolicy.org/ipcNews.php?id=1> ," reveals how Baghdad sees the Ashraf 
residents as "the enemy," suggesting collusion between Baghdad and Tehran.

This incident took place despite fresh pledges 
<http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2011/04/160621.htm#IRAQ>  by Baghdad to 
treat the Iranian dissidents humanely and to protect them. U.S. Senate Foreign 
Relations Committee Chairman John Kerry rightly described the attack as a 
"massacre 
<http://foreign.senate.gov/press/chair/release/?id=f8790a6b-7d3c-4c46-a9e0-09d2c5e37af5>
 " while former governor Howard Dean called the Iraqi prime minister a "mass 
murderer 
<http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/apr/26/dean-calls-al-maliki-a-mass-murderer/>
 ." The U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights 
<http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/country,,,,IRQ,,4dad20a21e,0.html>  "condemned" 
the attack and the U.N. Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI 
<http://www.uniraq.org/newsroom/getarticle.asp?ArticleID=1502> ) expressed 
"deep concern."


http://www.danielpipes.org/pics/new/large/1450.jpg

Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki and Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

On April 11, the advisor for military affairs 
<http://english.farsnews.com/printable.php?nn=9001221094>  to Iranian Supreme 
Leader Ali Khamene'i (according to a news report) "praised the Iraqi Army for 
its recent attack on the strongholds of [the MeK] and asked Baghdad to continue 
attacking the terrorist base until its destruction."

On April 24, despite United Nations 
<http://www.uniraq.org/newsroom/getarticle.asp?ArticleID=1162>  insistence that 
"Camp Ashraf residents be protected from forcible deportation, expulsion or 
repatriation," Baghdad and Tehran signed an extradition agreement 
<http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/04/25/uk-iran-iraq-extradition-idUKTRE73O24520110425>
  which state-controlled Iranian media interprets as a mechanism forcibly to 
transfer MeK members to Iran, where they anticipate a horrific fate.

Iraqi maltreatment of Iranian dissidents both raises humanitarian concerns and 
points to the MeK's larger importance as a mechanism to thwart the U.S. goal 
<http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC06.php?CID=1523>  of minimizing 
Tehran's influence in Iraq.

That said, Washington – which granted "protected persons 
<http://www.nytimes.com/2004/07/27/world/reach-war-people-s-mujahedeen-us-sees-no-basis-prosecute-iranian-opposition.html>
 " status to the Ashraf residents in 2004 in exchange for their surrendering 
arms – bears partial responsibility for the attacks on Ashraf; in 1997, it 
threw a sop to Tehran and, contrary to both fact and law, wrongly 
<http://www.amazon.com/Appeasing-Ayatollahs-Suppressing-Democracy-Opposition/dp/1599752972>
  listed (and continues to list 
<http://www.state.gov/s/ct/rls/other/des/123085.htm> ) the MeK as a "Foreign 
Terrorist Organization."

Baghdad exploits this terrorist tag. For example, Congressman Brad Sherman 
<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aCKr0sYpPxI>  (Democrat of California) reports 
that "in private discussions the Iraqi ambassador's office has said the blood 
is not on the hands of the Iraqi government but is at least partially on the 
hands of the State Department because the MeK is listed as a terrorist group 
and accordingly, Iraq doesn't feel that it has to respect the human rights of 
those in the camp." The terrorist designation also offers Baghdad a pretext to 
expel 
<http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5iQnDOb4ldCk74Y7ToO7UPjKtPqSA>
  Ashraf's residents and possibly extradite them to Iran.


http://www.danielpipes.org/pics/new/large/1451.jpg

UNAMI was founded in 2003 and is headed by Dutch politician Ad Melkert.

At this time of crisis, how to achieve Senator Kerry's call 
<http://foreign.senate.gov/press/chair/release/?id=f8790a6b-7d3c-4c46-a9e0-09d2c5e37af5>
  for "all the relevant parties … to seek a peaceful and durable solution"? 
Some recommendations:

*       The U.S. Government should delist the MeK as a terrorist organization, 
following the wishes of a large bipartisan majority in Congress, of Barack 
Obama's former national security adviser 
<http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/27/us-iran-iraq-jones-interview-idUSTRE73Q79820110427>
 , and of prominent Republicans 
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/12/22/AR2010122205180.html>
 .
*       The European Union should impose economic sanctions on Iraq if Baghdad 
continues to block an EU parliamentary delegation 
<http://www.europeanvoice.com/article/2011/april/iraq/70947.aspx>  from 
visiting Ashraf. (The EU is Iraq's second largest trading partner 
<http://ec.europa.eu/trade/creating-opportunities/bilateral-relations/countries/iraq/>
 ).
*       The United Nations should station a UNAMI delegation in Ashraf, guarded 
by a small U.S. force, to deter future Iraqi attacks and to fulfill the U.N. 
High Commissioner for Human Rights 
<http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/4dad20a01e.html> ' demand for "a full, 
independent and transparent inquiry" into the Ashraf assault so that "any 
person found responsible for use of excessive force" be prosecuted.

Now is the time urgently to act on Camp Ashraf - a bellwether of growing 
Iranian influence over Iraq - before Tehran turns Iraq into a satrapy.

Mr. Pipes is director of the Middle East Forum and Taube distinguished visiting 
fellow at the Hoover Institution of Stanford University.

 



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