http://biggovernment.com/jdunetz/2011/05/11/new-poll-numbers-show-obamas-post-bin-laden-bump-is-over/

 

New Poll Numbers Show Obama’s Post-Bin Laden Bump is Over 
<http://biggovernment.com/jdunetz/2011/05/11/new-poll-numbers-show-obamas-post-bin-laden-bump-is-over/>
 

by Jeff Dunetz  <http://biggovernment.com/author/jdunetz> 

Sorry Mr. President, the party is over. Less than two weeks after Osama Bin 
Laden was killed by a squad of hero Navy Seals, the bump in Obama’s ratings has 
disappeared, in fact the latest Rasmussen 
<http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history>
  poll shows that some of his numbers are worse than before.

For example the chart below reflects the President’s approval index from the 
day the Bin Laden news was released though today.  Approval index represents 
the people who strongly approve of the President’s performance minus the people 
who strongly disapprove. So it is an indication of the people most passionate 
about President’s performance, these are the people who are most likely to work 
toward/against Re-election of the present POTUS.

Keep in mind, the Bin Laden news was released well after the May 2nd sample was 
taken and released. Rasmussen numbers reflect three days sampling ending with 
the day prior to the numbers being released so, for example for the May 4th 
numbers only one third of the sample was questioned after the Bin Laden death 
was reported.  It was not until May 6th that the entire sample had the 
possibility of being aware of the death of Bin Laden.

 
<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-5XFVF83QgfQ/Tcq4DbYSBYI/AAAAAAAAITA/HaRv8ES81jc/s1600/aproval+index.jpg>
 
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-5XFVF83QgfQ/Tcq4DbYSBYI/AAAAAAAAITA/HaRv8ES81jc/s400/aproval+index.jpg

On May 2nd, the day Bin Laden was killed the President’s approval index was at 
a -12. From there it generally rose through May 7th, and started falling 
through today’s report which shows him back at a -12.

Overall approval and disapproval numbers show the same pattern.

 
<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-tCztG61u2tI/Tcq9AMuRSoI/AAAAAAAAITI/4IM2e07fKnQ/s1600/total+approval.jpg>
 
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-tCztG61u2tI/Tcq9AMuRSoI/AAAAAAAAITI/4IM2e07fKnQ/s400/total+approval.jpg

Prior to Bin Laden’s trip to hell, Rasmussen reported that President’s overall 
approval/disapproval numbers were both at 49%, today his disapproval stands at 
52% and approval stands at 48%

What should be even more troubling to the President should be the fact that his 
numbers among independents are not promising (the Oth column in the chart below 
boxed in red)

 
<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-21suCisE7xM/TcrACzwd5HI/AAAAAAAAITQ/Ls0Q5sTfVO8/s1600/all+nums.jpg>
 
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-21suCisE7xM/TcrACzwd5HI/AAAAAAAAITQ/Ls0Q5sTfVO8/s400/all+nums.jpg

Among independents, the president’s approval index is at a minus 22, and almost 
70% of independents believe that the country is on the wrong track.

Over-all President Obama received (and frankly deserved) an approval bounce 
based on the Navy Seals heroic action eliminating Osama Bin Laden as a threat 
to this country.  As the saying all good things must pass, but nobody expected 
things to pass so quickly.

But this is a nation which is on the precipice of a financial abyss. As soon as 
the joy that Bin Laden is no longer a threat passed, the weekly new 
unemployment claims figure shot up and the monthly unemployment percentage rose 
back to 9%.  These number shocked America out of its post Bin Laden euphoria 
and back into the reality that Barack Obama has mis-handled the economy.  Look 
for his numbers to continue to fall as long as the economy continues to falter.

 



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