Iran vs. Persian Gulf States

Posted By Frank Crimi On May 20, 2011 

The assassination
<http://www.christianpost.com/news/taliban-kill-saudi-diplomat-in-pakistan-5
0271>  of a Saudi diplomat in Pakistan came as an Iranian flotilla bound for
Bahrain was turned back
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/iranian-ships-carrying-aid-to-bahrain-t
urned-back-in-persian-gulf/2011/05/16/AFho954G_story.html>  by warships of
the Gulf Cooperation Council. Both incidents are signs that the cold war
between Iran and the Persian Gulf States is heating up.

The Saudi diplomat, Hassan al-Qahtani, was killed in the Pakistani city of
Karachi by four gunmen of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). His
assassination had been preceded days earlier by a hand grenade attack on the
Saudi consulate in the same city.

While the TTP claimed responsibility for the attack, calling it a "very good
job," the Saudis discerned another familiar culprit. The Saudi newspaper
Al-Jazirah laid blame
<http://www.thememriblog.org/blog_personal/en/37624.htm>  for the murder
squarely at the feet of Iran. It comes as little surprise as the Saudis have
been accusing Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) of
instigating civil strife in Pakistan through a series of targeted
assassinations and mosque burnings.

The killing is just the latest sign of the escalating tension between the
Sunni-dominated Persian Gulf States - led by Saudi Arabia - and
Shiite-dominated Iran. Tension between the two groups has been rising in
intensity since the February revolt of Shiite dissidents in the kingdom of
Bahrain, protests which led to the subsequent entry of the GCC to restore
order.

So, with Bahrain as the focal point of the current conflict, it seemed
apropos that the second escalating incident arrived in the form of a
two-ship Iranian flotilla headed toward Bahrain, ostensibly to show support
for the Shiite demonstrators locked in battle with Bahrain's ruling Sunni
monarchy.

Unfortunately, it's not the first time
<http://www.haaretz.com/news/international/iran-activists-cancel-gaza-aid-fl
otilla-due-to-israeli-threats-1.298165>  Iran has used a flotilla to stoke
an international incident. In June 2010 an Iranian flotilla carrying sixty
people was bound for Gaza in an effort to break through Israel's blockade of
the territory before it turned back due to what it called Israeli threats.
That incident came after an eight-ship Gaza-bound Turkish flotilla was
boarded by Israeli navy commandos in May 2010, an incident where IDF troops
where met by a violent mob wielding sticks and knives.

Not surprisingly, Bahrain feared the same result with Iran's newest flotilla
and had warned Iran repeatedly about sending what it called a "sea caravan"
to Bahrain. As one Bahraini official said
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/iranian-ships-carrying-aid-to-bahrain-t
urned-back-in-persian-gulf/2011/05/16/AFho954G_story.html> , "This would be
a blatant interference in Bahrain's internal affairs," adding "Bahrain did
not ask for humanitarian aid from the Iranian republic."

So, when the flotilla - purportedly
<http://edition.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/meast/05/16/iran.bahrain.flotilla/>
filled with 120 Iranian students, teachers and clergy - left the Iranian
port of Bushehr on Monday, it was turned back after being intercepted by
warships from the Peninsula Shield Force, the military arm of the GCC.

According
<http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/babylonbeyond/2011/05/iran-flotilla-turned-
back-as.html>  to Shaykh Fawwaz Bin-Muhammad Al-Khalifah, president of the
Bahraini Information Affairs Authority, the Persian Gulf states had
responded to what they believed was "Iranian interference."For its part,
Iran claimed the flotilla to be nothing more than an attempt to show its
sympathy for Bahrain's Shiite community. Mehdi Eghrarian, the head of the
Shiite Iran's Islamic Revolution Supporters Society said the flotilla's
intent <http://english.alarabiya.net/articles/2011/05/13/149017.html>  was
simply to "bring a message of solidarity with the oppressed and tyrannized
people of Bahrain." 

However, a former CIA intelligence told one news service that supporters of
Iran's Supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei had been assembled to launch a new
confrontation with Bahrain. According
<http://www.gulf-daily-news.com/NewsDetails.aspx?storyid=305979>  to him,
the flotilla would contain "martyrdom forces, consisting of Islamist thugs .
who have been at the forefront in the brutal suppression of Iranian
demonstrators." More ominously, he warned, "They are also preparing suicide
bombers in co-ordination with the Guards' Quds Force for attacks on Bahraini
and Saudi interests.

  _____  

  _____  

While that assessment remains to be determined, what isn't in doubt is that
Iran's most recent effort to interfere in Bahrain affairs comes as the small
kingdom remains locked in an escalating clampdown on its Shiite population
despite a pledge by Bahraini King Hamad al-Khalifa to end a state of
emergency by June 1.

Bahraini authorities have set up a special security court to prosecute
<http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110517/ap%20on%20re%20mi%20ea/ml%20bahrain>
opposition leaders and other protesters thought to be linked to the February
protests. To date, the court has sentenced four people to death and is in
the midst of trying 21 Shiite opposition leaders and political activists
accused of plotting against the kingdom.

Moreover, Bahrain's government has been accusing
<http://english.alarabiya.net/articles/2011/05/13/149017.html>  Iran and its
Shiite terrorist proxy Hezbollah of enflaming its internal situation by
training Bahraini dissidents in its Lebanese and Iranian camps, accusations
which led Bahrain in March 2011 to expel dozens of Shiite Lebanese for
alleged ties to Hezbollah and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.

So, it comes as little surprise that Bahrain's foreign minister Sheik Khalid
bin Ahmed Al Khalifa addressed Iran's most recent provocation by
substantially raising the rhetoric, warning
<http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703784004576220690229874246.h
tml> , "The campaign against us from Iran at this stage is political, but it
could have a different posture at any time." Firing back, Iran's foreign
minister, Heidar Salehi, warned of "repercussions" if the situation in
Bahrain did not improve.

However, Iran's verbal assaults on Bahrain have been alternately balanced by
it sending its Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi to Kuwait to discuss
bilateral and regional issues in an effort to mend fences with its Gulf
neighbors. The stop in Kuwait will mark
<http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20110517/wl_mideast_afp/irankuwaitdiplomacygulf
>  Salehi's fifth regional trip in the past few weeks, following visits to
Qatar, Oman, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates.

According
<http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20110517/wl_mideast_afp/irankuwaitdiplomacygulf
>  to an Iranian spokesman for Salehi, the trips have been intended because
the Iranians believe "consultations among regional countries prove helpful
in better understanding of the situation in Bahrain, and pave the way for an
appropriate response to the legitimate demands of the people there."

Despite the gloved hand, the Gulf States aren't letting down their guard,
especially Saudi Arabia. Since the beginning
<http://globalspin.blogs.time.com/2011/05/17/the-saudi-iranian-cold-war-is-t
his-the-future-of-the-middle-east/>  of 2011 the Saudis have authorized more
than $100 billion of additional military spending to modernize and upgrade
its ground forces and naval capabilities. To that end, it has begun to
double its number of high-quality combat aircraft and add 60,000 security
personnel to its Interior Ministry forces. Furthermore, the Saudis plan to
create a Special Forces Command to unify its various special forces for
possible rapid deployment abroad.

Some may argue that the monarchial Persian Gulf States and the Islamist
Republic are nothing more than two sides of the same Islamic coin. As such,
there is no difference in who triumphs in a coming clash, either will retain
the same enmity to the West, perhaps just in varying degrees. Whether true
or not, the recent events unfolding in the Gulf region demonstrate that we
may soon at least have an answer.

Frank Crimi is a writer living in San Diego, California. You can read more
of Frank's work at his blog, www.politicallyunbalanced.com
<http://www.politicallyunbalanced.com/> . 

  _____  

  _____  

  _____  

Article printed from FrontPage Magazine: http://frontpagemag.com

URL to article:
http://frontpagemag.com/2011/05/20/iran-vs-persian-gulf-states/

 



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