The Mideast History Lesson Obama So Desperately Needs

Posted By Seth Mandel On May 27, 2011 

After President Obama surprised Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu
last week with a now-infamous statement of principle about the 1967 lines,
Netanyahu responded with what news outlets characterized as a "history
lecture."

Though the outlets-ranging from the French Press Agency to the Chicago
Sun-Times-meant the phrase derisively, a history lesson on the 1967 lines
was exactly what the moment called for. And a lesson on the Israel-Egypt
peace treaty and the early negotiations that led to the Oslo process would,
for instance, enlighten the president on just why his strategy for Mideast
peace is backwards, and doomed to fail.

Anwar Sadat's trip to Jerusalem to address the Israeli Knesset in 1977
immediately entered the history books as a moment of triumph for political
courage and for the power of diplomacy. It held the promise of a Middle East
where Israel's existence is a recognized reality, and it offered a glimpse
of what Arab statesmanship could accomplish. Grand gestures weren't
meaningless after all.

But there was one prominent American who disagreed. After the Egyptian
president's dramatic visit to Jerusalem U.S. President Jimmy Carter said, "a
separate peace agreement between Egypt and Israel is not desirable."

In retrospect, of course, it has been very "desirable" for Carter's
otherwise dismal foreign policy record. Historian Arthur Herman explained in
the Wall Street Journal in 2009 how that came to be:

"But by the autumn of 1978, the rest of Mr. Carter's foreign policy had
crumbled," Herman wrote. "He had pushed through an unpopular giveaway of the
Panama Canal, allowed the Sandinistas to take power in Nicaragua as proxies
of Cuba, and stood by while chaos grew in the Shah's Iran. Desperate for
some kind of foreign policy success in order to bolster his chances for
re-election in 1980, Mr. Carter finally decided to elbow his way into the
game by setting up a meeting between Sadat and Begin at Camp David."

When it became inevitable, Carter took the credit. It should be noted that
there is much value in a White House reception for such a deal. It
communicates the notion that American moral and physical power stand behind
the agreement, giving it extra weight in the international arena. But the
fact remains that because Carter wanted a comprehensive Arab-Israeli peace,
he actually opposed the Egypt-Israel deal.  Against it before he was for it,
so to speak.

The agreement was the result of diplomacy and negotiation undertaken by the
Israelis and the Egyptian government. Only after it became a formality did
the U.S. get involved. 

A similar path took shape on its way to the Bill Clinton-endorsed Oslo
process-the declaration of principles of which were signed at the White
House in 1993. As Barry Rubin and Judith Colp Rubin write in Yasir Arafat: A
Political Biography, what became the Oslo process began in earnest in 1991,
when Israeli scholars Yair Hirschfeld and Ron Pundak met with Palestinian
negotiator Hanan Ashrawi in Ramallah to discuss Israeli-Palestinian economic
cooperation. Ashrawi suggested the Israelis meet with PLO economist Ahmad
Qurei in London in December of that year. Arafat approved.

"This was not just to be a meeting between two Israeli academics and a PLO
economist," the authors write. "Abu Mazin (Mahmoud Abbas) later wrote that
the key factor in making the PLO pursue this channel was the relationship of
Pundak and Hirschfeld through Yossi Beilin, a prominent figure in the Labor
party, to Foreign Minister Shimon Peres. The get-together was arranged by
Terje Larsen, a Norwegian sociologist who headed the Institute for Applied
Social Sciences. That meeting's success soon led to more rounds of secret
talks between Israel and the PLO hosted by the Norwegians."

The talks circumvented the U.S., which was what Arafat wanted anyway. (As
Martin Indyk describes in his memoir of Clinton Mideast diplomacy, Arafat's
presence posed a continued logistical problem-at times comical-for the
American administration since Arafat was an international terrorist.)

The Israelis involved produced glowing reports of Qurei's constructive
participation in the talks. "Without him, Oslo would not have happened," one
of the Israeli negotiators later said.

The talks moved along, and eventually the Clinton administration got
involved. Once that happened, however, things quickly spiraled out of
control. Arafat muscled his way into a more public role (he was always
involved behind the scenes), and eventually hijacked the process, derailing
virtually the entire Mideast diplomacy of the Clinton administration. (As
the Bush administration prepared to take over, Clinton called Colin Powell
and told him: "Don't let Arafat sucker punch you like he did me.")

The lesson here is that the American administration can play a productive
role in the peace process, but not an overwhelming one. History has shown
time and again in the Mideast that negotiations must be done quietly and be
free of outside interference. The more public the spectacle, the more it
encourages the Palestinians to grandstand, stall, and manipulate.

Unfortunately, this is a lesson Obama has yet to learn. His version of
American Mideast diplomacy is the reverse of what has worked, and the
photocopy of what has failed. The predictable result is that the
Palestinians refuse to come to the negotiating table, and are barreling
toward a UN General Assembly publicity stunt that would effectively abrogate
the Oslo process and introduce a level of anarchy into an already unstable
region.

History suggests the president should reverse course immediately to salvage
the process.  But this may be a lesson too far.

Seth Mandel is a writer specializing in Middle Eastern politics and a
Shillman Journalism Fellow at the Horowitz Freedom Center.

* Frontpage thanks our new cartoonist Amir Avni for the graphic representing
this article. Amir graduated from Sheridan College with a Bachelor of
Animation Degree in 2010 and was awarded a Certificate of Merit by
ASIFA-Hollywood in 2009. He is currently finishing his Master's Degree.

  _____  

Article printed from FrontPage Magazine: http://frontpagemag.com

URL to article:
http://frontpagemag.com/2011/05/27/the-next-mideast-history-lesson-obama-so-
desperately-needs/

 



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