Dear Graeme, I suppose you are from Brisbane right, so I am copying our p2p friends (Jose), along with my colleagues of the P2P Lab,
very best wishes: Michel On Fri, Dec 30, 2016 at 4:23 PM, Graeme Taylor <[email protected]> wrote: > Dear Michel, > > Greetings from down under! For your information I am sending you my > article "A Realistic (Holistic) Approach to Climate Mitigation". I hope you > and your colleagues find it interesting and useful! > > Here is the abstract: > > At this time, most climate researchers are only using a limited range of > futures approaches: > for example, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) future > scenarios have been > developed primarily with empirical predictive methods that extrapolate > trends. These seriously > underestimate the risk of nonlinear developments and critical failures. > This article examines > the Paris Climate Conference (COP) 21 agreement on climate mitigation; > explains why > current efforts are based on false assumptions and likely to fail; argues > that holistic, integrative > methods are needed to avoid disaster; and uses these methods to develop a > practical strategy > for accelerating systemic transformation. Despite the impressive > diplomatic achievements of > the Paris Agreement, there is a dangerous lag between the pace of > political, economic, and > technological change and the rapid (non-negotiable) rate of climate > change. The challenge is > to find ways to manage the conflict between the need to work within > existing institutional > frameworks and the reality that they are not (and may be structurally > incapable of) acting > quickly enough to prevent catastrophic outcomes. This dichotomy may be > resolved by using a > three-track strategy: the first track will focus on accelerating existing > climate mitigation efforts > by encouraging decision-makers to use holistic, critical-safety risk > management methods. The > second track will counter ideological opposition with constructive > alternative narratives. The > third track will help catalyze the global movement needed to empower > structural transformation > and the emergence of a sustainable global system. It will not be possible > to resolve many complex > global socioecological problems (climate, water, food, energy, growing > inequality, etc.) without > transformational change. Integrative, whole-systems methods are now needed > to accelerate the > evolution of a sustainable global system. > > The full article is available on-line at: http://journals.sagepub.com/ > doi/pdf/10.1177/1946756716673640 > > Warm regards, > > Graeme > Graeme Taylor, PhD > Co-ordinator, BEST Futures (www.bestfutures.org) > Adjunct Research Fellow, Environmental Futures Research Institute, > Griffith University > (61)738710642 > > > > -- P2P Foundation: http://p2pfoundation.net - http://blog.p2pfoundation.net Connect: http://p2pfoundation.ning.com; Discuss: http://lists.ourproject.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/p2p-foundation Updates: http://del.icio.us/mbauwens; http://friendfeed.com/mbauwens; http://twitter.com/mbauwens; http://www.facebook.com/mbauwens
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