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Sent: Tuesday, February 21, 2006 2:47 PM
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Subject: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Retirement age could be 75 in just two decades


Assalamualaikum,
Kaba apo pulo iko, mari kito baco.
Wassalam, syb.

Retirement age could be 75 in just two decades
By Nic Fleming, Science Correspondent, in St Louis, Missouri
(Filed: 20/02/2006)
People will work until they are 75 within two decades and will be
retiring at 85 by the middle of this century thanks to the greater use
of anti-ageing therapies, scientists have predicted.
 
 
Most people alive today in industrialised societies will live to close
to 100 as the use of "wonder drugs" that combat common killers is
extended and gene manipulation shown to extend life spans in animals
becomes safe in humans.
But researchers warned that the changes could cause a host of social and
economic changes such as the cost of supporting the growing elderly
population, later child-bearing, fewer marriages and a consequent rise
in "serial monogamy".
Speaking at the American Association for the Advancement of Science
conference in St Louis, Missouri, Prof Shripad Tuljapurkar, a biologist
at Stanford University, said: "We have doubled human lifespan in the
last century. 
"Some people believe we are on the brink of being able to extend human
lifespan significantly because we've got most of the technologies we
need to do it.
"Even without anti-ageing strategies, retirement ages will reach 75 in a
couple of decades for sure and by 2050 I expect them to reach 85."
Life expectancy for boys born in 2004 was 77 and 81 for girls. A century
ago it was 45 and 49 respectively.
Prof Tuljapurkar said that while life expectancy had gone up by
approximately a year every five years since 1950 in most industrialised
countries, he and many other experts expected this rate to speed up
imminently.
He predicted that between 2010 and 2030 the most common age of death
would increase by 20 years as anti-aging therapies came into widespread
use. Among these would be medications that combated common killers, such
as heart attacks and strokes, new cancer therapies and gene manipulation
treatments. 
But he warned: "We have to make people aware that there are costs
associated with extending lifespans so that societies can work out ways
to pay for them."
Eileen Crimmins, professor of gerontology at the University of Southern
California, Los Angeles, said: "If lots of people are going to live to
100, then some could end up having three 25-year marriages."


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