Re: Sunday photographer "Just to be contrary"

[Graywolf]

No surprise that the F6 is selling well. Most of the problem with camera sales 
was not digital cameras, but the world economic conditions. But things are on 
the rise again now. I'vw mentioned an 11 year economic cycle many times, and no 
one listens. I find it strange that none of the so-called economists mention it. 
Of course I have only lived through six of them: 1948, 1959, 1970, 1981, 1992, 
and 2003 being the bottoms of the cycle, so maybe my sample is not large enough.

Major wars seem to modify that cycle. The bottom was mild in the US in 1970 when 
the government was spending billions on the VietNam war. And WWII held things 
off for about 4 years, the bottom of the cycle prior to '48 being 1933. Taking 
that 4 year slip into account I can find references that show the cycle holds 
back to 1900.

Next bottom 2014; expect the economy to start an obvious down trend about 2010 
with a possible sudden drop in the stock market a year or too befor that. Stock 
market crashes seem to happen at the top of the cycle. People blame them for the 
following depression, but the depression is going to hit reguardless of that.

graywolf
http://www.graywolfphoto.com
"Idiot Proof" <==> "Expert Proof"
-----------------------------------
Scott Loveless wrote:
On Mon, 07 Mar 2005 12:45:46 +0100, Sylwester Pietrzyk <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> 
wrote:
http://www.luminous-landscape.com/columns/sm-mar-05.shtml
Interestng conclusions. And information that new Nikon F6 sells very well is
surprising too. Apparently there are a lot of people still using film for
PRO work too (Natoinal Geographic should be a good example)...

From the article:  "Lord, I don't think I have the strength to face a
world without Leica – I'm just now getting used to a world without
Deardorff!"
This is off topic, but for those of you with an interest in large
format, Mr. Deardorff is once again making view cameras under the name
"J. Deardorff Photographic Products Intl.", or DPPI.  I have a scan of
the catalog that was presented recently by the man himself.  It's a
VERY LARGE file (~12MB) for only 37 pages.  If anyone wants a copy,
I'll be happy to post it at my personal site for download.  Perhaps
someone with a copy of Acrobat would be willing to resize it?


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