It's almost certainly going to be closer to a poisson
distribution than a straightforward normal distribution.

That means there are going to be some early failures;
you aren't going to be error-free for any number of cycles.
Somebody, somewhere, quite possibly may have had a shutter
fail at 1,000 cycles.

On the other hand, some assemblies may manage 250,000



Rick Womer mused:
> 
> Yes, I know.  The point was to illustrate that the
> standard deviation around that mean is probably rather
> wide.
> 
> Rick
> 
> --- John Francis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > Rick Womer mused:
> > > 
> > > FWIW anecdotally, my PZ-1 just had its film
> > winding
> > > mechanism replaced; it broke after 11 years at 50
> > > rolls/year = ~20,000 cycles.  It shouldn't have
> > done
> > > that.
> > 
> > That's MEAN time between failures, not MINIMUM time.
> > 
> > You were unlucky, but somebody is going to be ...
> > 
> > 
> 
> 
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