.Kostas Kavoussanakis
.Tue, 23 Aug 2005 05:58:34 -0700
.
>.On Tue, 23 Aug 2005, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
>.
>.The same things that make any computer obsolete:
>.
>.1. Memory capacity
>.2. Storage capacity
>.3. Processing speed
>.4. Form factor
>.5. Paradigm
>.
>.1, 2, and 3 are givens.  It's why not a single one of us can do any
serious
>.image editing on a 386sx system.
.
.1-3 are not relevant to a camera. They are the same all the time. There is 
.no constant bloatware churn-out to obsolete your memory, 
.storage and processing speed.
.
>.4 and 5 get less consideration but are equally important.
>.Anyone remember Micronics, or Altos?  CPUs the size of a desk,
>.8-inch media, fix & removable platters, Wyse & Televideo terminals?
>.In 10 years we WILL be looking at the current DSLR systems in
>.this same light.  The software and the whole environment will change
>.so completely as the field matures, 10 years from now it will be
>.difficult to use these cameras in the same capacity.  They'll still
>.be usable -- like a Pentax 110 Super.  Neat pieces of history,
>.but who really wants to use one.  Seriously, that is.
.
.Again, the 110 film was never good.
.
.Kostas

Kostas,

You missed the point completely.

#1 Numbers 1, 2, and 3 have everything to do with these computer cameras.

a.  The operating systems WILL change.  Who here used XP 10 years ago? 
None.  We'll need OS modifications for faster rendering, deeper color
support, and everything else related to images.

b.  The sensor sizes and resolutions WILL change.  Who here built 20 meg
JPG files 10 years ago?  In 10 years we will not even think about a 6.1Mp
camera, except perhaps for the kids as a starter.  Many will go straight to
the trash.  We'll be doing 50Mp to 100Mp as a base on PCs using 10gig of
ram.

c.  The interfacing WILL change.  Who here used USB 10 years ago?  Few if
any.  And as the size increases, so will the need for faster data movement.
I have some 32 meg SD cards.  That's 3 raw shots in the DS.  Four years ago
they were very useful in PDAs.  Now they're not practical for much of
anything, except small data transfers.

#2 The 110 market was at one time viable.  Now it is not.
"Never good?"  So what.  "Good" had absolutely nothing to do with
usability.  "Good enough" is the motivation to buy.  Pentax and Minolta
sold a bunch of 110 SLR units, along with some quality P&S models.

"Obsolete" is a matter of usefulness.  Most products lose this over time.

Collin


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