for the last couple of weeks, there's been >150 successful auctions
for older lens over $50. that translates to about 4000/year. even if you
that meny of those buyers participated in multiple auctions, i think the figure
would still be of the order of a few thousands people/year. i also imagine that
not everyone is buying the lenses every year, so the numbers need to be summed
over a few years. all in all, i think 10K is a sensible rough
(pessimistic) estimate.

now, with monthly production rates of the order of 10-20K/months, that's
about 5..10% of annual sales (and with the digital lifespan, that may be 5-10%
of all sales). not a hell of a lot, but might be worth their while,
considering that
those sales will very likely be at "premium" prices.


On 10/9/06, William Robb <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "J. C. O'Connell"
> Subject: RE: The JCO survey
>
>
> > The aperture cam sensor would not add $100 to the final price
> > IMHO. Look at anti-shake for example, its in a $500 camera
> > And its way more complex/expensive to implement than the
> > Super simple and dirt cheap cam sensor.
>
> What would it cost per camera?
> Please, cost per unit and what that wold trickle down to the consumer
> as?
> Include R&D and manufacturing costs as well.
> Then tell us how many projected sales would be gained for their doing it
> vs. the number of sales lost on price point.
>
> You seem to know things that the people who I talk to don't know.
> What are the numbers, John?
>
> William Robb
>
>
>
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