William Robb wrote:

> You'all just don't seem to be getting it.

OK - so when a superior technology comes along, the old technology dies 
off and is gone completely.

Like horse drawn buggies (replaced by automobiles):

http://www.liveryone.net/

Bows and arrows (replaced by guns):

http://www.huntersfriend.com/2007-Bow-Reviews/bow-specifications-charts-main.htm

Hand woven fabric replaced by mass produced material:

http://www.camillavalleyfarm.com/other/weavingguilds.htm

Flint and steel (replaced by matches):

http://www.survivalschool.com/products/fire_starting/Flint_&_Steel%20Kits.htm

Oil lamps were replaced by candles which were replace by gas light which 
were replaced by electric light. (Good thing since oil lamps are a 
10,000 year old technology.)

http://www.oillampman.com/

Books, movies, and radio - replaced by TV:

Oh shoot, I guess the Internet has killed off all those plus TV...

Folks don't ride horses to work any more (after all, its a 6,000 year 
old technology). But I schlepped by the KKK rally held in downtown 
Kalamazoo yesterday - and there were a couple dozen cops on horseback 
working the crowd. So the practical application of horses has not gone away.

No one expects film to play the same role that it played in 1975. In the 
near future it will not be a mainstream technology. People who don't see 
an advantage to it, or who don't have the time, knowledge, or resources 
to utilize it - won't use it. People won't be able to pop by the local 
drug store and get film developed. But that's not the same as it being 
gone completely, totally, eradicated.

Advancing technology limits old technology, makes it more expensive, 
drives it into specialized niches, but there is little historical 
evidence to suggest that old technologies die off and are eradicated, 
unless you start dealing in minutia like beta video tapes, cylinder 
records, 8 track tapes, etc - which are not really categories of 
technologies but rather very limited applications of them.  That's sort 
of like saying that steam powered locomotives disappeared so, of course, 
all railroads have gone.

Some form of film will last forever. Or least least as long as flint and 
steel, oil lamps, and horses. And just as we once lived in a society 
were everyone saw horses first hand every day, and now they are a 
rarity, film will become a rarity. But it won't disappear.

Cripes - there are still people taking daguerreotypes these days, 
mercury poisoning or no...

- MCC

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Mark Cassino Photography
Kalamazoo, Michigan
www.markcassino.com
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