Yes, that's wild speculation. But it's more realistic sounding than *any* other scenarios I've heard ;-) Time to "wait and see".
Kristian Walsh <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: <snip> ><wild-speculation> >It's possible that Contax are doing what Apple did when they launched >the PowerMac G4 desktop in September 1999: basically, Apple didn't have >an agreed supply of G4 processors for the computer, and their main >supplier, Motorola, couldn't guarantee adequate yields until January >2000. Apple, not wanting to lose sales in their busiest quarter, decided >to use the couple of thousand validation samples they had got from >Motorola previously, and use them to build machines. When these dried >up, it was very difficult to get a G4 Mac until Motorola came up with >the goods on schedule the following January (Apple, of course, blamed >Moto for delivering late when in fact they were a couple of weeks early, >but that's Steve Jobs for you...). > >If you assume that Philips are at the very best deferring the volume >manufacture of the 6Mp chip until late 2002, and if you compare the kind >of volume that Contax will be shipping next year compared with what >Pentax would be expecting, it's obvious that of the two companies, only >the low-volume, premium-price manufacturer (Contax) could get away with >building a few hundred units with pre-production samples, and charging >more for the camera to keep demand down. > >If the N-1 uses the new Contax lens mount, then the pent-up demand is >going to be low enough anyway, unlike the deluge that would descend on a >K-mount digital SLR. Who knows, maybe Pentax made a few quid by selling >their initial stock of the chips to Kyocera...? > >I think we'll see a 4-5Mp reduced-frame SLR from Pentax early next year >using most of the parts from the MZ-D, and then the real deal by >mid-2003, most likely at higher resolution, considering Moore's Law. ></wild-speculation> > >Total value : EUR 0.02 ;-) -- Mark Roberts www.robertstech.com - This message is from the Pentax-Discuss Mail List. To unsubscribe, go to http://www.pdml.net and follow the directions. Don't forget to visit the Pentax Users' Gallery at http://pug.komkon.org .
