Agreed.
On Aug 20, 2009, at 3:57 PM, John Celio wrote:
Graydon's post was the first to make complete, rational sense in this
entire thread. I find it amusing that it seems to have been
completely
ignored by the "doom & gloom" crowd.
John
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-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Re: Hoya to seek digital camera alliance
From: Graydon <[email protected]>
Date: Wed, August 19, 2009 7:12 pm
To: Pentax-Discuss Mail List <[email protected]>
On Wed, Aug 19, 2009 at 03:27:49PM -0400, Perry Pellechia scripsit:
I was planning on buying a K7, but when a company says they are
pessimistic that they can survive why should we believe they can?
That's not even *close* to what he said.
The guy is *Japanese*.
Japanese software never, ever, under any circumstances, tells you to
"press OK button to continue"; that would be having an inanimate
object
give a command to a person, and that would be unacceptably rude. It
says things like "your experience could possibly be improved should
you
elect to press the OK button". Japanese software firms will not admit
to the existence of bugs, either; they produce point releases which
enhance existing features. (Sometimes they enhance them into not
destroying your data, but admitting to a specific bug? No. Not done.)
So for a Japanese exec to say "we're not large enough to support
arbitrary future camera development" is a loss of face. Needing a
partner; also a loss of face. Very gloomy. Nothing at all about the
short and medium-term viability of the business, just "we can't take
on
Canon and Sony and Panasonic by ourselves".
Which has been blessed obvious for quite some time now, really.
Samsung, well, we'll see. They're in the Sony and Panasonic size
class;
the problem is that they're Korean, and Japanese/Korean relations have
this element of irrationality. (As in, Japanese people are reluctant
to
buy cameras with Korean sensors in them.)
But, you know, the future is uncertain; someone might figure out how
to
dynamically sinter variable diffraction lenses out of tetrahedral
carbon, aluminium, and fluorine for dirt cheap, and someone else might
figure out how to make sensors out of coated glass fibre, and the
entire
camera business as we know it could disappear next year. There is no
knowing.
For now, though, I don't see any particular reason for panic, or even
particular concern; the Pentax camera business is apparently hitting
their short term sales targets, starting to think about more market
share and taking on Sony and Canon, and therefor prepping the ground
for
"will require partner", so that it's a sound strategic alliance rather
than humiliating desperation when they go do it. Face management,
that's all. Absolutely vital to an East Asian firm.
-- Graydon
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