On Sat, Sep 18, 2010 at 2:07 PM, P N Stenquist <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> On Sep 18, 2010, at 12:49 PM, William Robb wrote:
>
>>
>> --------------------------------------------------
>> From: "P N Stenquist"
>> Subject: Re: OT: Civil Rights Photographer Unmasked as Informer
>>
>>>
>>
>>> Both of those actions helped prevent the country, and the city in  which
>>> I live, from going belly up. In terms of the auto bailouts, GM  is now
>>> thriving, and hiring people. Chrysler is close to being on an  even keel as
>>> well. Without the bailouts, Detroit would have become a  living hell.
>>
>> Has it occurred to you that the reason GM and Chrysler needed bailouts is
>> because they make junk vehicles and because they have an unsustainable
>> business model?
>
> Who are you to contend is right! GM has made tremendous progress. Their
> previous "business model" was the result of big labor beating them up for
> half a century. No more.
>
> I'm engaged in some deep research on new engine designs. You'd be surprised
> to learn who the laggards are.
>
> In any case, this discussion ended amicably, and in the interest of
> preserving that truce, I'll have no more to say.
>
> Paul

And Big Labor has more say now with GM than they did before the
Bankruptcy due to their pull with the Democratic Party and their
partial ownership stake in GM itself while consumer confidence in GM
is severely down. The fact that Lordstown is still a working plant
tells everything you need to know about how much pull the UAW retains.
A lot of the bailout for GM was simply a bailout to the UAW via the
illegal preference towards the UAW over stockholders and debtors who
would normally have precedence in a bankruptcy. GM may recover and
become a successful company once again but they will never recover
their reputation. A lot fewer people are interested in buying from
Government Motors than were interested in buying from General Motors
and sales over the last year show it.

The best part of the GM and Chrysler bankruptcies is that they likely
mean that there will be one major domestic brand in the future. Ford.
Chrysler will eventually be subsumed into Fiat (or spat out like
Daimler did, to fail again). GM's pretty clearly doing good
engineering but retains lousy overall designs in the small car market
and at best their midsizes are comparable to the competition (Malibu?
Good car. But I can get just as good a car from Toyota or Ford and
have more confidence that my warranty will matter and my dealer will
still be there to fix it in a year). GM's continuing overabundance of
Brands doesn't help it much either. GM completely lacks a standout
product in the consumer car market. Yeah, they've got a good crossover
SUV and great trucks but those don't matter as much as they did 5
years ago.

Frankly, I expect to see GM back in bankruptcy within the next 10
years. And next time it will be worse than what would have happened if
there had been no bailout.

-Adam

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