I agree with your analysis (and of course, your correction). However, I will be very surprised if the Full Frame comes in at under $2500 (at least initially). We will soon see!
On Fri, Jan 15, 2016 at 8:49 AM, Stanley Halpin <[email protected]> wrote: > First, a minor quibble: 645D is 1st generation, 645Z is 2nd generation; you > have it the other way around. > But I think the main thrust of your discussion is mostly on target. > > I looked at the specs for the new Nikon $6500 camera, did a quick comparison > with the 645Z. About the same size, about the same price. The Nikon has a > larger more diverse suite of lenses available, has much more sophisticated AF > system and can shot sports-photographer-class frames per second. I suspect > the 645Z produces better images in the studio or in landscape mode. > > Assume for the moment that the K-1 FF will be somewhat like the Nikon > offering: rapid accurate AF, high frame rate, good image quality. > > I think what we are left with is not the linear progression that your price > progression implies. Rather, I think we have two camera lines. K-3ii -> K-1, > and 645D -> 645Z. Or arguably three distinct lines. The APS-C, FF, and 645 > have such different characteristics that a knowledgable consumer will be > making choices based on the fit of the tool for his job, not just on price. > > And if this analysis has any merit, then it wouldn’t surprise me to see the > K-1 at a price point about $500 less than the 645D. > > stan > >> On Jan 13, 2016, at 8:23 PM, Darren Addy <[email protected]> wrote: >> >> I find the price trend on the 645D to be interesting (if my empty >> pocketbook says I'm not quite tempted yet). It seems that there are >> more 645D on the market recently, and I it occurs to me that some are >> probably upgrading to the 645z and some are possibly selling in >> anticipation of getting the Pentax FF (or moving to some other FF >> system). We can't discount the fact that as time moves on the 645D >> becomes older and older technology, which also accounts for some of >> the price slide. >> >> I don't think we are terribly far away from seeing used 645D bodies >> selling for under $2K. It is possible that the FF Pentax's actual >> introduction may even exert a little upward pressure back on the 645D, >> depending upon it's price and specs: One might be deciding between the >> latest Pentax technology K-1 at 36 or 42 MP for $2895 vs the 40MP 645D >> for a chunk less. >> >> If this happens, the price progression would be: >> Flagship APS-C: K-3 II >> 2nd Generation 645D >> Full frame: K-1 >> Medium format 1st generation: 645z >> >> Thoughts? >> -- >> Life is too short to put up with bad bokeh. >> >> -- >> PDML Pentax-Discuss Mail List >> [email protected] >> http://pdml.net/mailman/listinfo/pdml_pdml.net >> to UNSUBSCRIBE from the PDML, please visit the link directly above and >> follow the directions. > > > -- > PDML Pentax-Discuss Mail List > [email protected] > http://pdml.net/mailman/listinfo/pdml_pdml.net > to UNSUBSCRIBE from the PDML, please visit the link directly above and follow > the directions. -- Life is too short to put up with bad bokeh. -- PDML Pentax-Discuss Mail List [email protected] http://pdml.net/mailman/listinfo/pdml_pdml.net to UNSUBSCRIBE from the PDML, please visit the link directly above and follow the directions.
