> In a year's time when the D120 is out, I reckon a D30 can be picked up > for less than 500 GBP. That's my prediction. A year later, maybe 200. A
I don't think you can fairly say that there will be a D120, D200, and so on. For one, if the chip doesn't get much bigger than now then that's getting to be a pretty small well size- which means more noise. This contradicts the wonderful low-noise characteristic of the CMOS D60 sensor. Even if the chip goes up to full frame (if possible), this makes for a large die size and therefore much more expense. Not to mention that there's an ultimate physical limit to the smallest well size; unlike a non-optical chip. Also, there's not an infinite amount of information to be had thru a 35mm lens system- at some point the noise from these smaller wells will exceed the benefit of capturing more data. > year later it will be unsalable. It's basically an electronics nightmare > inside. I wouldn't touch one without a warranty, and then I'd pay for > extended warranty for as long as I could. > Electronics nightmare? Solid state electronics don't wear out. period. An MTBF on a DSLR is naturally longer than the same SLR with film transport. > If the above is realised, I'd say that's pretty much akin to computer > pricing. Maybe even worse. > Nope. Computers pricing/moore's law is all about making smaller and smaller transistors without making huge dies. R - This message is from the Pentax-Discuss Mail List. To unsubscribe, go to http://www.pdml.net and follow the directions. Don't forget to visit the Pentax Users' Gallery at http://pug.komkon.org .
