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The Vietnam turnout was good as well

No amount of spin can conceal Iraqis' hostility to US occupation

Sami Ramadani
Tuesday February 1, 2005
The Guardian

On September 4 1967 the New York Times published an upbeat story on
presidential elections held by the South Vietnamese puppet regime at the
height of the Vietnam war. Under the heading "US encouraged by Vietnam
vote: Officials cite 83% turnout despite Vietcong terror", the paper
reported that the Americans had been "surprised and heartened" by the size
of the turnout "despite a Vietcong terrorist campaign to disrupt the
voting". A successful election, it went on, "has long been seen as the
keystone in President Johnson's policy of encouraging the growth of
constitutional processes in South Vietnam". The echoes of this weekend's
propaganda about Iraq's elections are so close as to be uncanny.

With the past few days' avalanche of spin, you could be forgiven for
thinking that on January 30 2005 the US-led occupation of Iraq ended and
the people won their freedom and democratic rights. This has been a
multi-layered campaign, reminiscent of the pre-war WMD frenzy and
fantasies about the flowers Iraqis were collecting to throw at the
invasion forces. How you could square the words democracy, free and fair
with the brutal reality of occupation, martial law, a US-appointed
election commission and secret candidates has rarely been allowed to get
in the way of the hype.

If truth is the first casualty of war, reliable numbers must be the first
casualty of an occupation-controlled election. The second layer of spin
has been designed to convince us that an overwhelming majority of Iraqis
participated. The initial claim of 72% having voted was quickly downgraded
to 57% of those registered to vote. So what percentage of the adult
population is registered to vote? The Iraqi ambassador in London was
unable to enlighten me. In fact, as UN sources confirm, there has been no
registration or published list of electors - all we are told is that about
14 million people were entitled to vote.

As for Iraqis abroad, the up to 4 million strong exiled community (with
perhaps a little over 2 million entitled to vote) produced a 280,000
registration figure. Of those, 265,000 actually voted.

The Iraqi south, more religious than Baghdad, responded positively to
Grand Ayatollah al-Sistani's position: to call the bluff of the US and
vote for a list that was proclaimed to be hostile to the occupation.
Sistani's supporters declared that voting on Sunday was the first step to
kicking out the occupiers. The months ahead will put these declarations to
a severe test. Meanwhile Moqtada al-Sadr's popular movement, which
rejected the elections as a sham, is likely to make a comeback in its open
resistance to the occupation.

The big vote in Kurdistan primarily reflects the Kurdish people's demand
for national self-determination. The US administration has hitherto
clamped down on these pressures. Henry Kissinger's recent proposal to
divide Iraq into three states reflects a major shift among influential
figures in the US who, led by Kissinger as secretary of state, ditched the
Kurds in the 70s and brokered a deal between Saddam and the Shah of Iran.

George Bush and Tony Blair made heroic speeches on Sunday implying that
Iraqis had voted to approve the occupation. Those who insist that the US
is desperate for an exit strategy are misreading its intentions. The facts
on the ground, including the construction of massive military bases in
Iraq, indicate that the US is digging in to install and back a long-term
puppet regime. For this reason, the US-led presence will continue, with
all that entails in terms of bloodshed and destruction.

In the run-up to the poll, much of the western media presented it as a
high-noon shootout between the terrorist Zarqawi and the Iraqi people,
with the occupation forces doing their best to enable the people to defeat
the fiendish, one-legged Jordanian murderer. In reality, Zarqawi-style
sectarian violence is not only condemned by Iraqis across the political
spectrum, including supporters of the resistance, but is widely seen as
having had a blind eye turned to it by the occupation authorities. Such
attitudes are dismissed by outsiders, but the record of John Negroponte,
the US ambassador in Baghdad, of backing terror gangs in central America
in the 80s has fuelled these fears, as has Seymour Hirsh's reports on the
Pentagon's assassination squads and enthusiasm for the "Salvador option".

An honest analysis of the social and political map of Iraq reveals that
Iraqis are increasingly united in their determination to end the
occupation. Whether they participated in or boycotted Sunday's exercise,
this political bond will soon reassert itself - just as it did in Vietnam
- despite tactical differences, and despite the US-led occupation's
attempts to dominate Iraqis by inflaming sectarian and ethnic divisions.


Sami Ramadani ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) was a political refugee from
Saddam Hussein's regime and is a senior lecturer at London Metropolitan
University

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