> To: [email protected]
> From: [email protected]
> Date: Sun, 30 Jan 2011 06:59:20 +0000
> Subject: [marinongpinoy] PIRACY OVERVIEW 2010
> 
> 
> PIRACY OVERVIEW 2010
> As another full year in the pirate calendar ends, the depressing cycle seen 
> in 2009 has been repeated. The small green shoots of hope seen in lower 
> levels of activities in January and February 2010 quickly shrivelled and the 
> year ended with alarming levels of attacks, not only in greater numbers but 
> with a more extensive geographical spread than previously seen. The number of 
> hijacked vessels still in the hands of the pirates at the end of 2010 was 26, 
> a figure that could have been much higher had it not been for the dozen or so 
> vessels that were boarded by pirates but where protracted hijackings were 
> avoided by the use of the citadel.
> Duration of attacks
> During 2010, 21 vessels were released, with an estimated total ransom of 
> around US$75 million being paid. The average duration of a hijacking 
> calculated by reference to the last six ships released (ending with the 
> Marida Marguerite on 27 December) stands at 255 days. The corresponding 
> rolling six ship average for the previous year was 93 days. Only six ships 
> were released in less than 100 days and none of those occurred after May. A 
> thought should go out in particular to the crews of the Iceberg (hijacked 29 
> March) and the Rak Africaan ( hijacked 11 April).
> Assuming that a hijacking costs three times the ransom paid in terms of loss 
> of hire, loss of opportunity, cargo losses etc, then the total costs to the 
> stakeholders of those vessels involved must be close to US$400 million. The 
> additional costs in terms of security, additional premiums and deviation to 
> the industry are considerable. Lloyd's List estimated the annual cost to the 
> industry at US$16 billion. The human cost and the trauma suffered by the crew 
> kept confined in one room for over six months cannot be calculated. 
> In another recent article in Lloyd's List, Mark Harris of ASI Global, a 
> company with considerable experience in kidnapping and latterly maritime 
> hijackings, was quoted as saying that shipowners owed a duty to each other to 
> keep ransom payments to a minimum. The statement is no doubt based on the 
> morality of paying ransoms at all and that is fully understood by everybody 
> involved. 
> But is it right? Further, if it is not right, but is the basis upon which 
> negotiations are carried out, does it follow that it is the reason for the 
> ever-lengthening duration of the hijackings? This is a debate that the 
> industry has not had but, in the face of a rapidly deteriorating picture, 
> perhaps it should. Whilst the crew bear the brunt as the leverage in the 
> negotiations, the financial victims of the extortion remain, for the most 
> part, the hull (or war) and cargo underwriters. General Average has been 
> around for hundreds of years and, in maritime casualties, it is the way that 
> the benefits are balanced. Traditionally, crew do not contribute to the GA 
> part. If the present approach to the negotiations (following what has been 
> referred to as the "Mexican kidnapping template") is a reason for the present 
> situation, then is it time to question whether what is being done is right? 
> If, at the outset, all the stakeholders (including the P&I Clubs) ask 
> themselves (as they would in any other maritime casualty) what their 
> potential combined exposure will be assuming a five or six month hijacking 
> and the answer is US$10 million or US$15 million (the Actuarial Profession in 
> October put the average at US$9m), then surely those stakeholders would ask 
> why it makes sense for them to lose that sum in the face of a ransom payment 
> of say US$3.5 million. Nowhere else in shipping would that make sense.
> Of course, it is not as simple as that and the inevitable consequence would 
> be an increase in ransoms. The first and obvious retort to that is that 
> ransoms are increasing anyway. Like housing sales in a rising market, ransoms 
> are often based on the price obtained in a previous case. However, if the 
> cost of the ransom is truly balanced between the stakeholders, there is 
> perhaps a reasonable expectation that the overall cost to the industry would 
> decrease, as it would be accompanied by a decrease in the duration of the 
> hijacking. If nothing else, it reduces the suffering of the crew.
> Whilst the industry may have some influence on the reward side, the risk to 
> the pirates remains minimal. The IMO reported in July 2010 that over 700 
> pirates had been caught and released by the military. Extrapolated over the 
> year, that would mean a total of 1,400 pirates who have been interdicted in 
> some way by the military but then released. There is no criticism of the 
> military, who can only respond according to the mandate given to them by 
> national governments. It is refreshing to see that France adopted new piracy 
> laws, making it easier for their military forces to arrest any pirate 
> attacking any ship. However, the law does not go as far as to allow them to 
> receive pirates taken by other European ships for prosecution in France. 
> Piracy prosecutions still make headline news in Europe and the US because of 
> their rarity. This year has seen successful piracy prosecutions in Holland, 
> Germany and the US, but the total number involved is fewer than 20 pirates.
> Citadels
> 2010 was also the year of the citadel being adopted increasingly as a 
> defensive tactic. The high profile case of the Taipan in particular and the 
> amendment to the Best Management Practice Guidelines gave a greater profile 
> to the citadel and not just in areas where there was at least a possibility 
> of fast military intervention. By the end of the year, at least 12 vessels 
> were reported to have successfully used the citadel and many of these were 
> deep in the Indian Ocean. The threat of military action seemed to be a potent 
> deterrent to the pirates remaining on board. However, the pirates' ability to 
> adapt means this remains a strategy which requires considerable forethought 
> and planning. If the threat continues in 2011, there is a risk that we will 
> see more aggressive tactics in trying to breach citadels and it must be a 
> matter of time before the owners' luck runs out. BMP Guidelines are clear and 
> ship operators and masters are "........ strongly advised to check directly 
> with MSCHOA regarding the use of citadels......".
> Armed guards
> The debate on armed guards continues. The trend towards arming ships grows. 
> There is no doubt that some owners are being driven towards army ships as a 
> result of purely commercial factors. Shipowners are in competition and good 
> business is being lost to those who have taken steps to arm ships that can 
> compete for East Africa business. Shipowners are increasingly pushed to 
> reconsider previously held principles that they would not arm their vessels.
> The pool of armed men and weapons is finite and an increase in demand will 
> undoubtedly put pressure on the reputable maritime security companies. The 
> last thing the industry needs is a decrease in quality. There is a clear need 
> for the development of a standard MARSEC (US Maritime Coast Guard Security) 
> Contract which can be adopted across the board. This would give comfort to 
> underwriters and owners alike. The unique selling point remains that ships 
> with armed guards have not been hijacked. It is the mantra of the MARSEC 
> Companies, but it does not make the use of armed teams any less controversial.
> Click here to read an article covering the use of armed guards and the legal 
> issues involved.
> Mother ships
> The other worrying development, caused in part by the duration of the 
> hijackings and in part by the difficulties that the pirates are having in 
> operating deep in the Indian Ocean, has been the use of other hijacked 
> commercial vessels as mother ships. This allows them to operate at much 
> greater limits of endurance at far less physical risk. Vessels that have been 
> used as mother ships include the Samho Dream (a VLCC) and, more recently, the 
> Izumi, the York, and the Polar (also laden with oil). The evolving picture is 
> of gangs using one vessel to hijack the next. This represents a serious 
> threat to the citadel tactic where military intervention is not on hand. It 
> is a credible next step that crew members from the hijacked mother ship could 
> be transferred to the blacked out bridge of the second ship (where the crew 
> are in a citadel). This would negate that crew's intention to defeat a 
> hijacking, particularly if the vessel was then towed, however crudely, 
> towards Somalia. 
> Legal developments
> Perhaps the most significant legislative development of the year was the 
> Executive Order on Somalia and piracy, issued by the US on 13 April. This is 
> now better understood and companies work with the US Office of Foreign Assets 
> Control ("OFAC") to ensure that they do not fall foul of its provisions. 
> However, it is frustrating that OFAC will not give any clarification as to 
> whether the Order does not apply to secondary payments i.e. indemnity 
> payments by insurers of cargo or charterers, where the ransom has been paid 
> by a non-US person to the pirates. This can and does act as a hindrance to 
> the willingness of other stakeholders to engage in the process. 
> In the Saldanha case (see article at here), where Ince & Co acted for the 
> successful owners, we saw clarification under English law on the issue of 
> payment of hire under a time charter during a hijacking. In a more recent, 
> arbitration, a London Tribunal was asked to consider whether a refusal to 
> transit the high risk area in November 2008 by an owner relying on the 
> Conwartime Clause was valid. The Tribunal accepted that the Gulf of Aden was 
> "dangerous" and determined that an analysis of the danger should not be 
> calculated by reference to an increase of the statistical analysis of the 
> threat between the date of the charter and the date the order was given. They 
> also considered whether the decision made by the owners was "reasonable" and 
> answered that by reference to the existing authorities on the issue of 
> discretionary decision-making. It was said that such a decision could not be 
> made arbitrarily and that it was necessary to look at the basis of the 
> decision and the information available to the decision maker. Those findings 
> may yet get an airing in the High Court in London.
> Comment
> Perhaps the removal of the Islamic Courts in Somalia in 2006/07, which 
> enabled the pirates to flourish, is now regretted. But that genie cannot be 
> put back in the bottle and perhaps the shipping industry can do little more 
> than watch and wait as the international community looks for solutions 
> ashore. In the meantime, the commercial world must adapt to an evolving foe 
> that shows no sign of fatigue and indeed, if the use of the mother ships 
> becomes the norm, may be revitalised. This is now a long term problem with 
> worrying signs of being copied, particularly off the coast of Nigeria, albeit 
> to a lesser extent. On that basis, it is perhaps right that the industry 
> should take a long hard look at whether the current approach to hijackings is 
> the right one and try to get ahead of a game that it is, at the moment, 
> losing. 
> Stephen Askins
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> ------------------------------------
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