OOPS, I sent the following only to the Rayp, though I think it's 
probably of more general interest. 

Glenn Rayp of the University of Antwerp writes: 
>>... a good reason for reducing the US federal budget deficit 
would be the balance of payments deficit ...  This is 
comprehensible though. As the U.S. can finance almost any BOP 
deficit it likes, it is mainly a problem for the rest of the 
world.  As a matter of fact, by reducing the budget deficit, 
you're solving at your expenses Europe's, if not Japan's 
problems.<<

I don't understand this last point. If the US has a 
deficit on the balance of trade and on the current 
account (not on the B/P which is usually close to 
balanced under floating exchange rates), then it's 
creating demand for the goods and services of the rest 
of the world. That is, the US is giving the world 
Keynesian stimulus, which seems pretty important in an 
era with so many recessionary impulses (including what 
I've called competitive austerity programs). If the US 
suddenly balanced its trade, it would push the world 
into depression. The non-US world then in effect lends 
money to the US and receives interest for this loan.  

The only complaint I can see is that the US fiscal and current 
account deficits impose unduly high interest rates on the world. 
But the non-US lenders gain from these interest rates. 

Maybe I'm leaving something out? 

Also, I'm not convinced that the US can finance any deficit it 
wants. The dollar might lose its status as the main world reserve 
currency.

Finally, the question was about balancing the budget, not 
reducing the deficit. The latter is a more moderate version of 
the former. 

in pen-l solidarity, 

Jim Devine       [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Econ. Dept., Loyola Marymount Univ., Los Angeles, CA 90045-2699 USA 
310/338-2948 (daytime, during workweek); FAX: 310/338-1950
"A society is rich when material goods, including capital, 
are cheap, and human beings dear."  -- R.H. Tawney.




Reply via email to