I had the pleasure of listening to Laura Tyson on NPR this afternoon.  She
was speaking at the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco.  She said something
very revealing:

(I can't quote exactly) The reason I have concerns as an economist about
replacing a federal entitlement to welfare, food stamps and medicaid with
block grants to states is because even in a well managed smoothly growing
economy there are going to be dips and bumps.  When states experience dips
there will be MORE people needing welfare, food stamps and medicaid -- with
the federal entitlement, the federal government pays the money to the states
as needed.  A block grant means there's NO MORE MONEY to meet these blips of
rising needs.

Note, she never once said recession.  The reason, her whole premise in
supporting Clinton's balanced budget plan is that the economy will grow at
2.2% for the next two years and then 2.3% for the following 5 years.

According to the Tuesday, Feb. 6 Wall St. Journal [p. A2] the OMB and CBO
both agree on these seven years of forecasts.

I wish someone would ask Laura Tyson, Joe Stiglitz, or any other economist
who works for either of these organizations how they can in good conscience
make such a prediction when they KNOW there will be some sort of recession
sometime before the next seven years.  

And where are the journalists?  Won't someone say the emperor has no
clothes? [!!}

In fact, does anyone know Laura Tyson's address in Washington??
-- 
Mike Meeropol
Economics Department
Cultures Past and Present Program
Western New England College
Springfield, Massachusetts
"Don't blame us, we voted for George McGovern!"
Unrepentent Leftist!!
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
[if at bitnet node:  in%"[EMAIL PROTECTED]" but that's fading fast!]

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