At 11:45 AM 11/29/96, Tom Walker wrote:

>O.K., Doug, you win, U.S. workers have never had it so good ;-) It's just us
>deluded, apocalytic ignoramuses who are imagining a fundamental and
>frightening change for the worse. But there it is, clear as day, in the
>selective statistics you present: everything is under control; nothing can
>go wrong... go wrong... go wrong...

Once more, slowly. Downward mobility has become a fact of life for most
U.S. workers, and many others elsewhere in the First World. This is not
because employment is disappearing; it's because not-so-good jobs are
replacing sorta-good ones. It's hard enough to be taken seriously when
you're on the left; making claims with no basis in fact doesn't help the
cause at all.

There's nothing selective about the stats I presented at all; perhaps you
know of a more complete set than that published by the BLS.

>Doug Henwood wrote,
>
>>Well since the business cycle goes up about 3/4 of the time, and down about
>>1/4, what happens in the business cycle counts in the long run, no?
>
>Is this also a bureau of labour statistics fact or is it a basic law of
>nature? (...like sun spots ;-)?) Please explain because this strategic
>little piece of cracker barrel wisdom provides the _frame_ within which the
>bls statistics tell the story you want them to (speaking of social
>constructionism).

Actually it's a National Bureau of Economic Research "fact," and it's based
on the last 50 years of business cycle experience. I don't know whether the
Business Cycle Dating Committee meets around a cracker barrel; I never
dated a business cycle myself.

Doug

--

Doug Henwood
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