Louis Proyect wrote:

>This seems like a question that Doug can supply the most meaningful answer
>to, but I will say something based on impressions from the mass media. A
>city like Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania is offered up as an example of one that
>has made the transition from the rust belt--it was a major producer of
>steel--to service industries. There is no question that Pittsburgh has seen
>a steady increase in jobs in the financial services, etc. The problem is
>that a 35 year old steelworker with 15 years experience in a foundry is not
>likely to get a job programming financial applications, nor a job answering
>area code 800 phone calls to tell people their current balance. Those jobs
>will go to recent high-school graduates. I suspect that the tens of
>thousands of steelworkers who lost their jobs in the 70s and 80s are working
>at Walmart, Sears, etc. for $8 to $10 an hour. If Doug can't come up with
>some statistics on this, I might take a trip over to the library and do some
>digging myself since the question has a bearing on American politics as well
>as Australian politics. This has to do with Clinton's claim that the
>American economy is healthy. While the stock-market is booming, I sense that
>there is much misery in the "rust belt" no matter the unemployment rate.

Unemployment in the U.S. Midwest is indeed very low by recent historical
standards; as a region its jobless rate is among the lowest, if not the
lowest, in the country. There are several reasons for this - one,
out-migration; two, absorption of the displaced manufacturing workers by
service industries; three, a manufacturing recovery. Most displaced workers
do find employment, though typically at worse-paying, less-secure service
jobs.

Lou, if you want to look into this, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has an
extensive program that follows displaced workers; they report periodically
on it in the Monthly Labor Review.


Doug

--

Doug Henwood
Left Business Observer
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New York NY 10024-3217 USA
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