Henry Liu raised a point that I've been thinking about quite a bit these
past four days. U.S. economic hegemony -- and arrogance -- rests on a
foundation of a massive and chronic current account deficit. This seems
paradoxical. But it makes a kind of
"I-owe-you-SO-much-you-can't-afford-not-to-lend-me-more
-and-do-whatever-I-say" sense. Debtor's blackmail.

At some point in the game, the other players have to ask, "Am I just
throwing good money after bad?" The events of May 7, 1999 and after have
given the world -- not least, China -- a clear sign of the U.S. lack of good
faith. The knee-jerk response of the Clinton administration was to excuse
themselves of responsibility. They figured they could short-change China
with a glib evasion.

The notable thing about the U.S. response was how in character it was --
cynical, evasive, self-serving, narcissistic. It was the smirking reflex of
a deadbeat. China/U.S. trade probably won't come to a screeching halt. But
that image of the smirking deadbeat won't fade.

regards,

Tom Walker
http://www.vcn.bc.ca/timework/covenant.htm




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