>Brad DeLong wrote:
>
>>Rates of growth of GDP per capita, India:
>>
>>1950-1980     1.1% per year
>>1980-1990     3.3% per year
>>1990-2000     4.2% per year
>>
>>At the pace of the last decade, India's real productivity is 
>>doubling every seventeen years (compared to a doubling time of 65 
>>years before 1980).
>
>Any evidence on how this growth has been distributed? Are the bottom 
>20-40% any better off, or is it mainly captured by a thin urban 
>middle class and the IT sector?
>
>Doug

Average life expectancy in India is 63 years, 44% of Indians over 15 
are illiterate, 53% of Indians under 5 are malnourished. India's 
poverty rate appears to have held constant over the decade of the 
1990s. But I don't see how anything is going to push India's poverty 
rate down until education improves.

So the answer to your question is that the bottom 20-40% aren't 
better off not (much, if any). On the other hand, India's middle 
class--the 50th to the 90th percentile--are still very poor by U.S. 
standards, and their incomes have grown remarkably.

Brad DeLong

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