Ellen, your possibility of a Nader victory tumbling the dollar
seems inconsistent with the rest of your analysis.  My
understanding is that anything that created the possibility of a
weakening of the US economy (relative to other major economies)
could set off a panic.

For example, if the financial world saw the new Japanese leader
as a reincarnation of Reagan who would reinvigorate their
economy, at the same time that the US economy faltered, then a
panic could occur.

One other factor in the US economy's favor is the synchronization
of the world's major economy, which would support Ellen's thesis
that the holders of $$$ would have nowhere to go.
--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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