Here is a reminder of Grey Davis's election strategy, following today's
execution.

"Lethal Elections: Gubernatorial Politics and the Timing of
  Executions"

       BY:  JEFFREY D. KUBIK
               Syracuse University
               Department of Economics
            JOHN MORAN
               Syracuse University
               Department of Economics

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
            http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=282294

     Date:  September 2001

  Contact:  JEFFREY D. KUBIK
    Email:  Mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
   Postal:  Syracuse University
            Department of Economics
            426 Eggers Hall
            Syracuse, NY 13244-1020  USA
    Phone:  315-443-9063
      Fax:  315-443-1081
  Co-Auth:  JOHN MORAN
    Email:  Mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
   Postal:  Syracuse University
            Department of Economics
            426 Eggers Hall
            Syracuse, NY 13244-1020  USA

ABSTRACT:
  We document the existence of a gubernatorial election cycle in
  state executions, suggesting that election year political
  considerations play a role in determining the timing of
  executions. Our analysis indicates that states are approximately
  25 percent more likely to conduct executions in gubernatorial
  election years than in other years. We also find that elections
  have a larger effect on the probability that an African American
  defendant will be executed in a given year than on the
  probability that a white defendant will be executed, and that
  the overall effect of elections is largest in the South and
  Midwest. These findings raise concerns that state executions may
  fail to meet the constitutional requirements stipulated by the
  Supreme Court in Gregg v. Georgia for the administration of
  state death penalty laws.

-- 

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929
 
Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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