"Next, Keynes -- noting, like Bittlingmayer, cost and demand conditions
under which competition doesn't emerge, Keynes goes further, to explain how
economists move from simplifying assumptions to abandonment of the actual
facts, and to conclude that their model is what reality is."

As an aside, Wassily Leontief makes a similar point about simplifying
assumptions in modelling in one of his Essays on Economics, but I cannot
provide the exact reference just now. Leontief's point tends to be more that
modelling is abused in the sense that dodgy inferences are drawn from
modelling phenomena on the basis of simplistic assumptions, causing
pradoxical results, whereas much better inferences would result if a
comprehensive study of available empirical data about the subject area was
made.

That is to say, modelling might cause us to abstract precisely from those
data sources, which are required for a balanced objective assessment, and
for the conditions for a solution to the given economic problem. This is
another way of saying, that in modelling we may assume precisely what we
need to explain: modelling becomes a way both for evading serious
theoretisation (substituting simplistic analogies and metaphors) and evading
a comprehensive confrontation with the facts which already exist
(statistically known trends, circumstantial evidence). The inferential
wizardry of the model might be impressive, but it might lead to very little
result, precisely because of the initial conditions (the simplifying
assumptions).

The significance of Marx's Capital is I think precisely that he builds a
"model" which not only incorporates more and more assumptions, but also is
capable of overturning those assumptions, while at the same time integrating
ever more empirical data and inferences into the picture. Marx knew very
well that the circuits of economic life (the overall process of economic
reproduction) could be approached from many different angles, but not every
starting point or initial assumption could lead to a coherent theoretical
structure being built up, since, in order to understand one set of economic
phenomena, another set of economic phenomena needed to be understood first,
or could not be understood in separation from another set of economic
phenomena. He felt therefore there should be an order (sequence) of
discussion and analysis, but in his critique of political economy, this
ordering principle is not given within economic science, but external to it,
namely by the materialist conception of history, in which the foundational
role of production and a genetic-historical approach are primary.

J.

Reply via email to