By Alexander Cockburn
www.counterpunch.org/cockburn11142003.html
(CounterPunch, Nov. 14/23, 2003) -- To gauge the level of hatred entertained by liberals for the Bush administration, take a look at the bestseller lists. Rubbing shoulders in the top tiers we find the liberal populists Michael Moore, Al Franken, Paul Krugman and Molly Ivins all pouring sarcastic rebukes on Bush II and, categorically or by implication, suggesting that in favoring the very rich and looting the economy in their interests Bush stands in despicable contrast to his immediate predecessor in the Oval Office.
So just get a Democrat, any Democrat, back in the White House and the skies will begin to clear again.
But suppose a less forgiving scrutiny of the Clinton years discloses that these years did nothing to alter the rules of the neo- liberal game that began in the Reagan/Thatcher era with the push to boost after-tax corporate profits, shift bargaining power to business, erode social protections for workers, make the rich richer, the middle tier at best stand still and the poor get poorer.
A few weeks ago here I discussed an extremely sparing, not to say grossly flattering account of Clintonomics by the neo-liberal economist Paul Krugman, aka a renowned columnist for the New York Times. Fortunately, we now have just such an unsparing scrutiny of Clintonomics in the form of Robert Pollin's "Contours of Descent", subtitled "U.S. Economic Fractures and the Landscape of Global Austerity", published by Verso.
Across his 238 pages Pollin is unambiguous. "It was under Clinton" he points out, "that the distribution of wealth in the U.S. became more skewed than it had at any time in the previous 40 years. Inside the U.S. under Clinton the ratio of wages for the average worker to the pay of the average CEO rose from 1:113 in 1991 to 1 to 449 when he quit.
In the world exclusive of China, between 1980 and 1988 and considering the difference between the richest and poorest 10 percent of humanity, inequality grew by 19 percent; by 77 percent, if you take the richest and poorest 1 percent.
The basic picture? "Under the full eight years of Clinton's presidency, even with the bubble ratcheting up both business investment and consumption by the rich average real wages remained at a level 10 percent below that of the Nixon-Ford peak period, even though productivity in the economy was 50 percent higher under Clinton than under Nixon and Ford. The poverty rate through Clinton's term was only slightly better than the dismal performance attained during the Reagan-Bush years."
We had a bubble boom, pushed along by consumer-spending by the rich. Through the Clinton era, the bargaining power of capital to cow workers -- to make them toil harder for less real money -- increased inexorably. Speculative rampages were given a green light.
To be sure, in accord with the captious laws of class-based mechanics, the bubbling tide did raise boats, albeit unevenly. The yachts of the rich lofted magnificently on the flood. Meaner skiffs rose an inch or two. In those bubble years businesses needed more workers, and for a brief moment the labor shortage gave them some leverage to get more pay.
At the end of eight years, when the bubble tide had ebbed, what did workers have by way of a permanent legacy? Clinton, Pollin bleakly concludes, "accomplished almost nothing in the way of labor laws or the broader policy environment to improve the bargaining situation for workers Moreover, conditions under Clinton worsened among those officially counted as poor."
Nowhere is Pollin more persuasive than in analyzing the causes of the fiscal turnaround from deficit to surplus, an achievement that had Al Gore in 2000 pledging to pay down the entire federal debt of $5.8 trillion. If this turnaround were the consequence of economic growth (producing higher tax revenues), along with the moderate rise in marginal tax rates on the rich in 1993, we might take a benign view of Clinton's fiscal policies.
On the other hand, if surplus was achieved by dint of hacking away at social expenditures and at social safety nets, plus gains in capital gains revenues stemming from the stock market bubble, then progressives, even Democratic candidates, might not so eagerly extol the Clinton model.
In a piece of original and trenchant analysis, Pollin shows that almost two-thirds of Clinton's fiscal turnaround can be accounted for by slashes in government spending relative to GDP (54 percent) and on capital gains revenues (10 percent). Pollin then poses the question: Suppose there really had been a peace dividend after the end of the Cold War was won. We could have had a few less weapons systems, 100,000 new teachers, 560,000 more scholarships, 1,400 new high schools and still had a budget surplus of $220 billion.
Instead, Wall Street applauded the surpluses and the ordinary folk paid the costs of all those slashes in the budget: fewer teachers, a dirtier environment.
You think the next Democratic nominee is going to address the long and short-term horrors engendered by the neo-liberal credo to which Clinton paid such fealty? Of course not. What, at minimum, would have to be done? Pollin doesn't shirk the questions, and he suggests answers that steer past easy rhetorical flourishes about trade protections.
If we are to move towards a world in which families don't have to line up outside churches to stay alive and teenagers don't have to work for 20 cents a day in Third World sweatshops, we have to have policies here that promote full employment and income security.
Such policies would have to include a strengthening of workers' legal rights to organize and to form unions, and also to fight on a level playing field in the conduct of strikes. To get a measure of fairness and stability in the financial system, financial institutions would have to honor asset-based reserve requirements, of which one example would be the margin requirements Greenspan failed to impose in September 1996. This same policy instrument could be used to channel credit to socially beneficial projects such as low-income housing.
Despite the best efforts of our doctrinal leaders, the moral
sentiments of the people are not entirely corrupted. Consumers, for
example, are prepared to pay a premium of they can be assured they
are buying products not made in sweatshops. And third-world countries
need not survive only under the sweatshop conditions ("tremendous
good news") praised by Krugman and his colleague at the NY Times,
Nicholas Kristof.They have to be permitted to return to the somewhat protected conditions encouraged in the development policies of an earlier era, without agencies of the U.S. government decreeing that their reformers and their union organizers be murdered by death squads.
I'm sorry, but you won't be hearing these ideas from Howard Dean. -- ----------------------------------------------
Purge the White House of mad cowboy disease.
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