there is lots of oil and lots of speculation, the biggest contributor to the 
rising price of is the possible closure of the Hormuz straits and the potential 
bombing of Iran nuclear facilities.
 
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/01/04/opinion/edpfaff.php
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/01/04/opinion/edpfaff.php
Pfaff: Paying for virtual oil 
By William Pfaff

Friday, January 4, 2008 
 
The oil exchange was transformed from a real business that bought and sold oil 
to be delivered to refineries and put to use in the world economy, into a 
gambling house in which a barrel of oil was no more or less than a casino chip.
 
Each of these incidents or rumors drove up the price of a commodity currently 
in oversupply. Nothing had happened to affect the actual oil, which at that 
very moment was on ships moving toward the ports where they regularly deliver 
their oil.


      
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