On 5/11/08, Jim Devine <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Carrol Cox wrote:
>  > The "long run" in reference to employment and unemployment seems utterly
>  >  irrelevant to lived exeperience. Men and women are either employed or
>  >  not employed NOW -- and the relevant future is rather limited: more than
>  >  two or three years and their past life has been destroyed, and nothing
>  >  that happens can recover that past life.
>
>  The "long run" has more than one interpretation. To the orthodox
>  school of economics, it refers to a situation where all prices
>  (including wages) have adjusted completely to surpluses and shortages.
>  So in 1933 or so, these folks said "if we just let nature take its
>  course, the unemployment situation will get better." To which
>  Keynesians replied (citing something Keynes said earlier, I believe),
>  "in the long run, we're all dead." They were right. It turned out that
>  getting to the "long run" required a gigantic nudge from WW2 arms
>  spending.
>

"this long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long
run we are all dead. Economists set for themselves too easy, too
useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they can only tell us that
when the storm is long past the ocean is flat again."


Sandwichman
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