well, my presumption is that right now, if you try to introduce talk
about a permanent $2 tax into mainstream political discourse, people
will come after you with pitchforks.

instead, what i am proposing is that one take advantage of the current
price rise to institutionalize current changes in behavior, and use
taxation and stockpiling to guarantee that a politically feasible
portion of the current price rise will, in real terms, be permanent.

another way of putting it: i think there is a social benefit in
squashing the notion that prices will ever return to their previous
low.

On 6/12/08, Jim Devine <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> what about imposing a permanent $2 per gallon tax on gasoline, sort of
>  like in Europe? That would guarantee high demand for alternatives w/o
>  undermining the incentive to produce the stuff (since so much of the
>  price represents "something for nothing" scarcity rents that arise not
>  from the cost of production but from the temporary and/or artificial
>  and/or long-term scarcity of the item).
>
>
>  Robert Naiman wrote:
>  >
>  > i saw an item recently about how consumers were finally shifting their
>  > behavior in response to the increase in gas prices - changing the cars they
>  > buy, getting rid of cars, switching to public transportation.
>  >
>  > it made me reflect on the thought that from a orthodox economist's point of
>  > view, there's no environmental policy that can match correct prices. yammer
>  > about conservation til you're blue in the face. move prices enough, and 
> keep
>  > them there, and if people believe that the change is permanent, they will
>  > move.
>  >
>  > part of the story about lack of investment in alternatives to oil has been
>  > that the price of oil was so low, that the alternatives weren't profitable.
>  > and even when the price of oil reached the theoretical tipping point,
>  > investors were still skittish, because these are long-term investments, and
>  > if the price of oil falls again you're going to take a bath.
>  >
>  > so what if the government could guarantee these investors that the price of
>  > oil in the united states will never fall below a certain level?
>  >
>  > suppose the government were to announce today: from now until forever, a
>  > gallon of gas will never sell in the united states for less than two
>  > dollars, and a barrel of oil will never sell for less than fifty dollars, 
> in
>  > 2008 dollars. if the market price falls below that, we will push it up
>  > through taxation and stockpiling.
>  >
>  > it wouldn't do anything to help consumers today. but it wouldn't hurt them
>  > either. now people are groaning about $4. if it were $2 they'd have a big
>  > party.
>  >
>  > but it would assure investors that any investment that's profitable at $50 
> a
>  > barrel will always be profitable.
>  >
>  > folks have adjusted to the idea that gas is more than $2 a gallon. why not
>  > put that change in behavior in the bank for all time?
>  >
>  >
>  >
>  >
>  >
>  >
>
> > _______________________________________________
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>  >
>  >
>
>
>
>
>  --
>  Jim Devine / "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own
>  way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.
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