Doug wrote:

> Without any popular movement to discipline him,
> Obama's would govern as a Rubinesque neoliberal.

I agree.

I'd just add that, as we speak, *there are* popular movements --
people in political motion, with varying degrees of organizational
coherence and intellectual clarity.

In these times, obviously, since the electoral process takes frontal
stage, these movements are not at their most intense and militant.
But the sources of these movements are not going away.  Therefore, the
movements themselves are not going away either -- unless their demands
are met or decisively defeated.

There's a strong popular opposition to the occupation of Iraq.  (The
defeat of Clinton and the probable defeat of McCain will owe much to
it.)  There is a strong demand for universal health care, which is now
alloying with a broad concern about the broader economic conditions of
working and "middle" class families.  Although momentarily weakened by
repression, the immigrants rights movement persists.  There is a
strong movement for sexual and gender equality.  There is also a broad
environmentalist movement.  There is a movement for racial equality,
at this point partially subsumed under the push to get Obama elected.
And I could list other movements, somewhat narrower, topically or
locally.

It is true that the full political potential of these movements to
induce the broader unity of the working-class and further political
progress can be re-directed, diffused, absorbed by the system.  So,
even if not crushed mechanically, these movements can be betrayed and
led astray.  Of course.  But, at this point, what can people in the
left do?

I think that, at this point, the task of people in the left should be
to engage these movements, to assist in their organization and --
perhaps most importantly -- to argue their case (and the broader case
for socialism) more clearly and more compellingly.  That is what could
strengthen our hand in influencing the specific course those movements
may take under a new presidency.

The immediate danger I see is people in the left disengaging from
these movements because the course the movements appear to be taking
at the moment doesn't meet some pre-conceived ideological criteria.
That is almost a guarantee that these movements will lack the valuable
intellectual input of socialists and that socialists will continue to
dwell on ideas not grounded in the reality of actual social movements.
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