The decline in employment in Chinese manufacturing has been documented in
some ILO publications such as AK Ghose "Employment in China: recent trends
and future challenges" at
http://www.ilo.org/public/english/employment/strat/download/esp2005-14.pdf 

David Richardson
The Australia Institute
-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Charlie
Sent: Friday, 5 September 2008 8:32 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [Pen-l] Re: [Marxism] Official priorities maintain hard life
inrural China

Most of this WSJ commentary is "China could..." Pardon the sarcasm, but 
I'm sure the CPC wants Mr. Katz's opinion.

The specific measures for rural education sound like a mere sop.

The original report noted the hard labor of peasants trudging behind 
water buffalo. The commentary admits that even so, rural emigrants to 
cities pose a severe employment problem. Don't expect the regime to 
boost rural displacement even more by funding farm mechanization in a 
big way.

The most interesting remark: "Over the past decade, China eliminated 
nearly 20 million factory jobs despite the explosion in industrial 
output." (I've seen similar remarks but still don't know an 
authoritative figure. Anyone got that?) Productive expansion today 
simply does not require massive numbers of industrial workers. The 
growth decades of auto in the U.S. - 1920-1960 - required huge numbers 
of semiskilled workers. They were able to build trade unions successful 
in winning economic gains. The growth decades of modern electronics - 
1970- 2000 - saw no such demand for semiskilled labor, and not enough 
demand for skilled labor to make a big economic difference. I tried to 
lay out how capitalist accumulation has reached a limit in From 
Capitalism to Equality: An inquiry into the laws of economic change. On 
a historical scale of time, the end of this mode of production is near.

Charles Andrews

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